Monday night and Tuesday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Monday night: Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms ending. It will be cooler than recent nights.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s and lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 60% early | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally much heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Tuesday: Some clouds and sun mix - less humid.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 75 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Northerly winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday night: A few clouds - cooler!
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.
Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds - cooler temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 70-75 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Wind: Northwest winds at 5-15 mph - gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - early but coming to an end from west to east across the area.
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Monday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - early but coming to an end from west to east across the area.
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - Very unlikely
Tuesday - No
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - Very unlikely
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: The past weekend was made up of scattered shower and heavy thunderstorm activity. There was a lot of lightning with the storms that formed. Hit and miss - most areas remained dry - some areas, however, picked up over an inch of rain. Thunderstorms moved slowly - dropping copious amounts of rain in isolated areas.
A cold front is making its way through our region on this Monday afternoon. This cold front will bring some significant changes to our weather pattern for the rest of the work week! Much cooler temperatures compared to the last week will start to move into the region tonight and continue into Friday.
Temperatures will be near normal to below normal for the rest of the week. Not bad considering we were in the 90s over the last few days. I don't think too many people will complain about the shift towards more "spring-like" temperatures.
A few showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening over our region.
Many areas should, however, pick up a little bit of rainfall - much needed rainfall. We continue to be well below normal in the precipitation department. Thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rainfall amounts.
Rain will come to an end later this evening - that will leave us with a few clouds on Tuesday into Wednesday.
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HEADLINES: The past weekend was made up of scattered shower and heavy thunderstorm activity. There was a lot of lightning with the storms that formed. Hit and miss - most areas remained dry - some areas, however, picked up over an inch of rain. Thunderstorms moved slowly - dropping copious amounts of rain in isolated areas.
A cold front is making its way through our region on this Monday afternoon. This cold front will bring some significant changes to our weather pattern for the rest of the work week! Much cooler temperatures compared to the last week will start to move into the region tonight and continue into Friday.
Temperatures will be near normal to below normal for the rest of the week. Not bad considering we were in the 90s over the last few days. I don't think too many people will complain about the shift towards more "spring-like" temperatures.
A few showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening over our region.
Many areas should, however, pick up a little bit of rainfall - much needed rainfall. We continue to be well below normal in the precipitation department. Thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rainfall amounts.
Rain will come to an end later this evening - that will leave us with a few clouds on Tuesday into Wednesday.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This afternoon and evening (Monday) - thunderstorms will produce 0.25"-0.50" - locally heavier
NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY - RAIN THIS EVENING WILL BE EXITING THE REGION.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This afternoon and evening (Monday) - thunderstorms will produce 0.25"-0.50" - locally heavier
NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY - RAIN THIS EVENING WILL BE EXITING THE REGION.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather. Below normal temperatures look more likely.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low More information on the long range cycle
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Enjoy the nice weather this week!
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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