Wednesday evening into Thursday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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The rest of Wednesday Afternoon: Mostly sunny and warm - highs in the middle to upper 80s - winds will be southerly at 10-25 mph and gusty - boaters use caution.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy and warm. An isolated thunderstorm possible - mainly southern counties.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.Wednesday night: Partly cloudy and warm. An isolated thunderstorm possible - mainly southern counties.
Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph and gusty early
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but storms can produce locally heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Thursday: Partly cloudy - a chance for a thunderstorm. If you need to view radar - click here.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 84-88 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-20 mph with gusts over 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but storms can produce locally heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Thursday night: Partly cloudy - mild - a chance for a thunderstorm. If you need to view radar - click here.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.
Wind: Southwest at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but storms can produce locally heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southwest at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but storms can produce locally heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 84-88 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but storms can produce locally heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Wind is the main concern the next few days - boaters use care.
A few thunderstorms will also be possible in the region - If you need to view radar - click here.
Boaters use care on area lakes and rivers - winds will be gusty over the coming days.
Any thunderstorms that form can produce lightning - if you have an outdoor event then monitor radar from time to time. If you need to view radar - click here.
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The wild card in this forecast is whether or not some of our counties will reach the 90 degree mark. Very warm air for this time of the year.
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No major changes in this update!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Wednesday night: Isolated strong/severe cell in the Missouri Bootheel and northeast Arkansas. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - mainly southern counties
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Wednesday night: Isolated strong/severe cell in the Missouri Bootheel and northeast Arkansas. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - mainly southern counties
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
.Thursday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Thursday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Isolated evening cell possible
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Friday: Severe weather may be a concern - but the confidence is low - monitor updates.
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Thursday - No
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Thursday - No
Friday - Upgraded to possible
Saturday - Unlikely
Sunday - Unlikely
Monday - Possible
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Warm - warm - warm. Those words will describe the weather over the coming days.
It will be windy over the coming days - boaters should use care.
A few thunderstorms may move into the Missouri Bootheel this evening and parts of western Tennessee. Brief heavy rain, lightning, and perhaps hail is the main concern.
Just a few isolated storms on Thursday and Thursday night. Otherwise - most areas will remain dry.
A good chance of storms will arrive on Sunday night into Monday night - monitor for updates.
Temperatures for tonight into Thursday
Lows tonight
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HEADLINES: Warm - warm - warm. Those words will describe the weather over the coming days.
It will be windy over the coming days - boaters should use care.
A few thunderstorms may move into the Missouri Bootheel this evening and parts of western Tennessee. Brief heavy rain, lightning, and perhaps hail is the main concern.
Just a few isolated storms on Thursday and Thursday night. Otherwise - most areas will remain dry.
A good chance of storms will arrive on Sunday night into Monday night - monitor for updates.
Temperatures for tonight into Thursday
Lows tonight
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
SCATTERED rain and storms over the coming days - most areas will remain dry tonight into Thursday night. A few areas could pick up a thunderstorm - where a thunderstorm occurs it can drop quite a bit of rain.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
SCATTERED rain and storms over the coming days - most areas will remain dry tonight into Thursday night. A few areas could pick up a thunderstorm - where a thunderstorm occurs it can drop quite a bit of rain.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 30th - May 5th
Event: Unsettled weather - warm to very warm
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather. Much above normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low More information on the long range cycle .
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Unsettled pattern into next week with a few chances for showers and thunderstorms. We should start to see temperatures moderate next week - meaning not as hot. This will be in response to a trough moving into our region from the west/northwest.
Sunday night into Monday night might bring the best chance of rain over the coming 5 day period.
Sunday night into Monday night might bring the best chance of rain over the coming 5 day period.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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