Sunday night into Tuesday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"-0.50" - slow moving storms can produce pockets of very heavy rain.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms - a few storms may produce hail and high winds. To view radars - click here.
Above normal temperatures
Sunday afternoon: Partly cloudy - hot - with scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe with hail and gusty winds. To view radars - click here.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 37 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"-0.50" - slow moving storms can produce pockets of very heavy rain.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms - a few storms may produce hail and high winds. To view radars - click here.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"-0.50" locally heavier in storms
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"-0.50" locally heavier in storms
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. A slight chance for a morning shower - a few afternoon storms over our eastern counties. Not quite as warm as recent days. To view radars - click here.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 78-82 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" but locally heavier in storms
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday night: Mostly clear and pleasant. Thunderstorms over eastern counties will come to an end.
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Tuesday: Sunny. Dry. Pleasant temperatures.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 78-84 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Some thunderstorms possible into Monday morning (mostly before 3 AM)
Lightning is the main concern. Radars - click here.
Drought conditions will continue to grow worse this week into next weekend. If you pick up rain then you will be one of the fortunate ones.
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Monitor for potential lightning Sunday night into Monday morning (mainly before 3 am) - if you have outdoor events. To view radars - click here.
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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No major changes in this update!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Sunday night: Isolated severe storms with hail and high winds - frequent lightning/heavy rain.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Sunday night: Isolated severe storms with hail and high winds - frequent lightning/heavy rain.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Mainly before sunrise Eastern counties may have storms until sunset.
.Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Mainly before sunrise Eastern counties may have storms until sunset.
Monday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Ending
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Monday - No
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: There will be some shower and thunderstorm chances tonight - Sunday - into early Monday morning. No severe weather is anticipated. A few storms could produce brief heavy rain and lightning. Hail and gusty winds will be possible with the most intense cells. Storms will be slow to move - rainfall totals of 1-3" will be possible in the heaviest cells (isolated amounts in that range).
The big story the rest of this week will be the warm temperatures. Monday and Tuesday won't be too bad - Wednesday either. But from Thursday on into the weekend we will experience temperatures in the 90s - humid, as well.
The drought will continue to strengthen.
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HEADLINES: There will be some shower and thunderstorm chances tonight - Sunday - into early Monday morning. No severe weather is anticipated. A few storms could produce brief heavy rain and lightning. Hail and gusty winds will be possible with the most intense cells. Storms will be slow to move - rainfall totals of 1-3" will be possible in the heaviest cells (isolated amounts in that range).
The big story the rest of this week will be the warm temperatures. Monday and Tuesday won't be too bad - Wednesday either. But from Thursday on into the weekend we will experience temperatures in the 90s - humid, as well.
The drought will continue to strengthen.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Keep in mind that this is a broad-brushed view through Monday - some areas may not pick up much rain at all. Locally heavy thunderstorms can always produce more rainfall.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Keep in mind that this is a broad-brushed view through Monday - some areas may not pick up much rain at all. Locally heavy thunderstorms can always produce more rainfall.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: May 28th-June 6th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. More the unsettled weather back a few days - the ridge looks to be strong most of this week - this will keep storm systems further west. Crossing fingers that we push into a more active pattern as we move into the end of the month and then first part of June. We need rain - as you all know.
We will see how it goes.
Very warm temperatures as we push through the upcoming week into the weekend - highs into the 90s will be common.
We will see how it goes.
Very warm temperatures as we push through the upcoming week into the weekend - highs into the 90s will be common.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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