Tuesday night and Thursday update
.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Tuesday night: Mostly clear and pleasant temperatures Starry night.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Light winds
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant - spring like weather. A bit warmer than it was on Tuesday
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 82-84 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Wednesday night: Mostly clear skies - pleasant and spring like.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s to lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.
Wind: Southeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Thursday: A few clouds - it will be warmer. Breezy at times
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 85-88 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - higher gusts on area lakes
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Sunday night - Unlikely
Monday - monitor
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
Sunday night - Unlikely
Monday - monitor
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: Wow - welcome to spring weather. Temperatures today were in the 70s. You just can't beat this kind of weather. Sure we need some rain - but if it isn't going to rain then it might as well be in the 70s with a nice breeze. Perfect weather - in my opinion!
The weather will be changing in the coming days - quite dramatically. We will see temperatures start to rise on Wednesday and Thursday - by Friday we can expect 90s. These temperatures will continue into Saturday and Sunday. A very warm holiday weekend is on tap for the region. I would not be surprised to see some readings above 95 in a few locations on Saturday and Sunday.
Sun screen will be a must!
A storm system will approach the region on Monday afternoon and Monday night. Along and ahead of an advancing cold front we can expect a band of showers and locally heavy thunderstorms. Torrential downpours and lightning will be the main concern. I am not sure about the risk for severe weather just yet - some gusty winds would be likely with the most intense storms.
The good news is that the precipitation MAY hold off until later on Monday afternoon or even Monday night. If this is the case then perhaps the holiday weekend will be 90% dry.
The big question on most peoples minds will be Monday - being a holiday. Monitor for updates on just how widespread precipitation will be. The timing is also in question. For now we will go with a chance for some showers and storms on Monday evening into Tuesday morning. I will fine tune the forecast in the coming days.
.
HEADLINES: Wow - welcome to spring weather. Temperatures today were in the 70s. You just can't beat this kind of weather. Sure we need some rain - but if it isn't going to rain then it might as well be in the 70s with a nice breeze. Perfect weather - in my opinion!
The weather will be changing in the coming days - quite dramatically. We will see temperatures start to rise on Wednesday and Thursday - by Friday we can expect 90s. These temperatures will continue into Saturday and Sunday. A very warm holiday weekend is on tap for the region. I would not be surprised to see some readings above 95 in a few locations on Saturday and Sunday.
Sun screen will be a must!
A storm system will approach the region on Monday afternoon and Monday night. Along and ahead of an advancing cold front we can expect a band of showers and locally heavy thunderstorms. Torrential downpours and lightning will be the main concern. I am not sure about the risk for severe weather just yet - some gusty winds would be likely with the most intense storms.
The good news is that the precipitation MAY hold off until later on Monday afternoon or even Monday night. If this is the case then perhaps the holiday weekend will be 90% dry.
The big question on most peoples minds will be Monday - being a holiday. Monitor for updates on just how widespread precipitation will be. The timing is also in question. For now we will go with a chance for some showers and storms on Monday evening into Tuesday morning. I will fine tune the forecast in the coming days.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS!
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS!
.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---
.
Date Range: May 28th-June 8th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
.
1. The long range - we will monitor a storm system on Monday into Tuesday - some thunderstorms will be possible. Still too far out to make a call on how widespread activity will be on Monday into Tuesday. PWAT values are high - that means some locally heavy rain would be possible with thunderstorms that do form.
Most likely the precipitation would be late on Monday into Tuesday.
A cooler period of weather is possible next week. Perhaps unsettled, as well with a chance for rain/storms. We will see how it goes.
Most likely the precipitation would be late on Monday into Tuesday.
A cooler period of weather is possible next week. Perhaps unsettled, as well with a chance for rain/storms. We will see how it goes.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment