May 31st-June 1st: Storms end this evening - cooler

May 31st - June 1st - 2012

Thursday evening into Friday update
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For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.

 
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Rest of this afternoon - Mostly cloudy - showers and thunderstorms - a few storms could produce hail and high winds.  Monitor radars and NWS web-site if concerned.  Highs will be mostly in the 80s.

Thursday night:  Showers and thunderstorms will come to an end this evening.  It will be cooler.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 50s  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind:  West to northwest winds at 10-20 mph - gusty  
Precipitation probability - 60% early  | Rainfall totals:  0.25"-0.50"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Friday:  Mostly cloudy early then some clearing - a few cumulus clouds possible - pleasant - cooler.
Below normal temperatures
Highs:  around 60-65 degrees.  | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-15 mph 
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals:   0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high

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Friday night:  Mostly clear and cool.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 40s and lower 50s |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind:  North to northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Saturday:  Partly sunny skies - pleasant temperatures.  
Below normal temperatures
Highs:  around 75 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.
Wind: West at 5-15 mph  
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals:  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is high 
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Thunderstorms left over from this afternoon will come to an end this evening.  There could be a few strong to severe cells - especially over the eastern half of the region.  Otherwise - lightning is a concern for outdoor events.  



Monitor Radars - click here
Watches/Warnings - click here
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Monitor radars to track thunderstorms for this afternoon (Thursday).

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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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Lowered temperatures

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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.  More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here 
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Thursday night:  Possible watches this evening over some of our counties - storms will be coming to an end early this evening - from west to east..
Thursday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - mainly early
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Friday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Friday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Friday night :
 
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Friday night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Saturday: 
Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?  
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Tonight - Watches possible in some counties - mainly early
Friday - No  
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here
 


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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.

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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.

 
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES:  
A cold front is moving through the region this afternoon (Thursday).  Along and ahead of the front are showers and thunderstorms.  A few of the storms this afternoon and evening may be on the strong side - possibly a few severe storms with hail and high winds - small chance for a tornado.

Monitor Radars - click here

Watches/Warnings - click here

Friday will bring cooler temperatures!  Expect highs to only make it into the 60s - perhaps 70 degrees.  Overnight lows on Friday night will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s.  Got to love those temperatures.


The drought will continue to grow worse until we have widespread significant rainfall.


The weekend appears mostly dry right now - although I will be watching a few disturbances move through the flow - these disturbances could trigger some showers/storms - however, confidence is low.  I will update on Friday.


The next chance of rain arrives around Sunday night into Monday night.



We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.

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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.


Most of this rain will fall Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening - Friday will be DRY


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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.



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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 

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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention).  I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible.  Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here

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1.  Another shot at rain around Monday.
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Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here

Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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