Saturday night into Sunday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Saturday night: Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms possible - esp over western KY and TN - far southern IL - some storms could produce hail and gusty winds
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the 68-72 | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but thunderstorms can produce locally heavier amounts - many areas will remain dry
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday: Partly cloudy and very warm - humid, as well. A chance for an isolated thunderstorm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 85-90 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but thunderstorms can produce locally heavier amounts - many areas will remain dry Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but thunderstorms can produce locally heavier amounts Confidence in this forecast is medium
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but thunderstorms can produce locally heavier amounts Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Monday: Mostly cloudy with a good chance for thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe with hail and high winds. Frequent lightning, as well.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 84-88 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 5-15 mph becoming more westerly during the afternoon at 10-20 mph - gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.25-0.50" - thunderstorms can produce heavier amounts
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Same concerns as recent days - a few isolated thunderstorms scattered about the area. Any storms that form can produce frequent lightning, gusty winds, and hail. Very scattered in nature - most areas will remain dry.
Best advice - don't cancel any plans! Monitor radars if you have concerns.
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Monitor radars - otherwise I wouldn't cancel any plans.
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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No major changes in this update!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Saturday night: Isolated severe storms.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Saturday night: Isolated severe storms.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Sunday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
.Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Sunday night : A few storms could be severe. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Monday: A few storms could be severe.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No but some warnings will be possible for hail.
Sunday - Unlikely - but will monitor
Sunday night - Monitoring
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No but some warnings will be possible for hail.
Sunday - Unlikely - but will monitor
Sunday night - Monitoring
Monday - Monitor - possible watches
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: SOME of you picked up rain on Friday night - others did not. I recorded 0.00" here at my place. If it sprinkled - I missed it. Still dry.
Parts of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky picked up over 1/2" of rain - thunderstorms - hail - and even some high wind reports. Feast or famine - it would seem.
It will be warm to very warm into Sunday - highs on Sunday will once again be near 90 degrees.
There will be a few thunderstorms sprinkled around into Sunday. A better chance of widespread showers and thunderstorms will arrive on Sunday night and Monday. Can't rule out a few severe storms. Will monitor and update.
Have a nice weekend!
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HEADLINES: SOME of you picked up rain on Friday night - others did not. I recorded 0.00" here at my place. If it sprinkled - I missed it. Still dry.
Parts of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky picked up over 1/2" of rain - thunderstorms - hail - and even some high wind reports. Feast or famine - it would seem.
It will be warm to very warm into Sunday - highs on Sunday will once again be near 90 degrees.
There will be a few thunderstorms sprinkled around into Sunday. A better chance of widespread showers and thunderstorms will arrive on Sunday night and Monday. Can't rule out a few severe storms. Will monitor and update.
Have a nice weekend!
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
SCATTERED STORMS INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON - MANY PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
SCATTERED STORMS INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON - MANY PLACES WILL REMAIN DRY.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 30th - May 5th
Event: Unsettled weather - warm to very warm
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather. Much above normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather. Below normal temperatures look more likely.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low More information on the long range cycle
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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