Tuesday night and Wednesday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night: A few clouds this evening - possibly a shower far eastern counties - east of the lakes mainly. Then a starry night - pleasant temperatures.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.Near normal to below normal temperatures
Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny - warmer - a small chance for a thunderstorm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 82-84 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 77 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: West winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.20"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday night: Clearing and cool/pleasant temperatures.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Thursday: A few clouds - pleasant - warm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 80-84 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 77 degrees.Wind: Eest at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Maybe a couple of thunderstorms - small chances - scattered in nature - non-severe.
.Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Maybe a couple of thunderstorms - small chances - scattered in nature - non-severe.
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Fairly calm weather will continue into the weekend. We do have a few showers this afternoon (Tuesday) - east of the lakes area. Those will die off this evening.
We do have a small front that will near the region on Wednesday - this may spark a few showers and thunderstorms. This does not look like a big event or a big deal.
Keep in mind that lightning is always a concern for any outdoor events - if you have an outdoor event on Wednesday afternoon then perhaps check radar to see if a few storms have popped up.
Here is an interesting (since our weather is not overly interesting) blog post from Dr. Jeff Masters concerning a system that formed in the Atlantic during the past few days. It did have a beautiful satellite representation.
Anyway - I thought that might interest someone in the group! .
HEADLINES: Fairly calm weather will continue into the weekend. We do have a few showers this afternoon (Tuesday) - east of the lakes area. Those will die off this evening.
We do have a small front that will near the region on Wednesday - this may spark a few showers and thunderstorms. This does not look like a big event or a big deal.
Keep in mind that lightning is always a concern for any outdoor events - if you have an outdoor event on Wednesday afternoon then perhaps check radar to see if a few storms have popped up.
Here is an interesting (since our weather is not overly interesting) blog post from Dr. Jeff Masters concerning a system that formed in the Atlantic during the past few days. It did have a beautiful satellite representation.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: May 24th-June 2nd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Dry weather into the weekend. I am watching for a possible front towards the beginning of next week.
I am going to start updating on the drought statistics - probably will keep that information at the bottom of the page - here below
Our region is in a drought - some counties are now considered "severe: drought by the National Weather Service and NOAA - the maps below will be updated from time to time - normally drought maps are issued once a week - I will try to keep them updated as much as possible.
The long range forecast does not look good for drought relief - however, keep in mind that the long range forecast was also for a wet spring - I take long range forecasts for what they are - low confidence with little reliability.
I have a series of maps on the Weather Observatory Web-Site - you can view them at anytime - click here for the full suite of maps
US Drought Monitor Map from NOAA - click here
The US Drought Monitor map shows a rather extensive area of dry conditions - although there has been some improvement over the last week or so across portions of the Tennessee and Ohio Valley - some areas picked up over an inch of rain.
Zooming in to Illinois - above - you can
see portions of the state are abnormally dry and far southern counties
are in moderate drought - portions of Kentucky (see below) are in severe
drought.
Soil moisture anomalies are fairly high - this yellow and orange areas are dry to very dry. This is the region in need of rain.
Rainfall to end the drought - the map above - shows portions of the area
need between 5 and 9 inches of rain. Those are some big numbers. As
we move into summer this becomes a bigger concern - we typically see
quite a bit of rain during April and May - for some of us that has not
been the case so far this season.
The latest 6-10 day temperature and precipitation forecast below - above normal temperatures will be the rule and below normal precipitation. Not that news you wanted to hear.
Now let's take a look at the 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook - below
Unfortunately these maps do not look
like the maps we want to see in order to end the drought. The drought
will worsen in some of our counties.
I am going to start updating on the drought statistics - probably will keep that information at the bottom of the page - here below
Our region is in a drought - some counties are now considered "severe: drought by the National Weather Service and NOAA - the maps below will be updated from time to time - normally drought maps are issued once a week - I will try to keep them updated as much as possible.
The long range forecast does not look good for drought relief - however, keep in mind that the long range forecast was also for a wet spring - I take long range forecasts for what they are - low confidence with little reliability.
I have a series of maps on the Weather Observatory Web-Site - you can view them at anytime - click here for the full suite of maps
US Drought Monitor Map from NOAA - click here
The US Drought Monitor map shows a rather extensive area of dry conditions - although there has been some improvement over the last week or so across portions of the Tennessee and Ohio Valley - some areas picked up over an inch of rain.
The latest 6-10 day temperature and precipitation forecast below - above normal temperatures will be the rule and below normal precipitation. Not that news you wanted to hear.
Now let's take a look at the 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook - below
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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