January 2, 2011:
Cold cold cold - long range looks cold.
January will likely end up below normal in the temperature department. I still believe and I am forecasting that we will ride the warm/cold boundary for January and February.
Memorable snow events are likely along this boundary - ice events, as well. No forecast changes otherwise - an active winter is ahead of us. That includes the severe weather risk when we are on the warm side of the boundary.
Precip chances appear very small for Wednesday night - better chances of some flurries and light snow to our east/northeast on Thursday night into Saturday.
Will maintain small chance for precip on Wed night into Thursday - and watch it over the next day or so.
Lot of cold weather ahead.
- Beau
January 2, 2011:
Morning update
The Wednesday system looks weak. The NWS has added some precip chances - but not overly impressive. Looks like some WAA could cause a bit of light precip to break out over the area on Wednesday or Wednesday night.
This still does not look like a big deal - but will monitor.
The Thursday/Friday clipper still looks too far north and east for our immediate local area to be impacted.
Progressively colder weather through the week and weekend. Next week looks quite cold, as well.
Brrrr weather :)
- Beau
January 2, 2011:
Cold cold cold - long range looks cold.
January will likely end up below normal in the temperature department. I still believe and I am forecasting that we will ride the warm/cold boundary for January and February.
Memorable snow events are likely along this boundary - ice events, as well. No forecast changes otherwise - an active winter is ahead of us. That includes the severe weather risk when we are on the warm side of the boundary.
Precip chances appear very small for Wednesday night - better chances of some flurries and light snow to our east/northeast on Thursday night into Saturday.
Will maintain small chance for precip on Wed night into Thursday - and watch it over the next day or so.
Lot of cold weather ahead.
- Beau
January 2, 2011:
Morning update
The Wednesday system looks weak. The NWS has added some precip chances - but not overly impressive. Looks like some WAA could cause a bit of light precip to break out over the area on Wednesday or Wednesday night.
This still does not look like a big deal - but will monitor.
The Thursday/Friday clipper still looks too far north and east for our immediate local area to be impacted.
Progressively colder weather through the week and weekend. Next week looks quite cold, as well.
Brrrr weather :)
- Beau
January 2, 2011:
I am starting to post video briefings. You can find those by clicking the link below.
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htmYou can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.
If you would like to be added to the severe weather email list then please email me and request to be added - I usually send out an email during significant weather events. Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
Forecast:
Sunday...Sunny. Highs around 37. West winds around 5 mph.
Sunday Night...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Monday...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night...Partly cloudy. Lows around 26.
Tuesday...Partly sunny. Highs around 44.
Wednesday into Thursday - chance for snow, sleet, or mixed precipitation. Will need to update this part of the forecast.
Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here.
Will be keeping an eye on the Wednesday/Thursday time frame - for forecast changes. The official NWS forecast (as of 10 pm Saturday night) does not include precipitation chances - however, this may change.
Your regional and local radars - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
-----------------
You can view current conditions - weather radar and more information by clicking here
The next few days will bring quiet weather. Not a bad start to 2011 - especially after the big severe weather outbreak at the end of December.
I will be watching a disturbance for the Wednesday/Thursday time frame and then another one towards the end of the week and into the weekend. There could be a small chance for some wintry mix added to the forecast - so stay tuned for updates.
The long range appears to be indicating that the cold weather will continue - it appears we will have some above normal temperature days, however, overall it appears it will be difficult to shake the below normal temperatures.
I may need to abandon the idea that January will end up above normal in the temperature department. The December part of the winter forecast has worked out well. Not as certain about January and February - which has always been the big question mark.
This is the kind of pattern that could produce some extreme events. The recent severe weather outbreak is a testimate to that fact.
There is some data indicating that extremely cold air could invade the central United States in the coming weeks Stay tuned!
Here is the official 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook from NOAA
The above map is the temperature outlook for the next 8-14 days. You can see that overall below noraml temperatures are forecast.
The above map is the precipitation forecast for the upcoming 8-14 day period. You can see that the probabilities favor above normal precipitation over much of the nation.
For now we will concentrate on the short range - quiet weather. I will be watching a disturbance for the Wednesday/Thursday time frame - the EC (model) has shown this event on and off. So - wI on't ignore the idea all together. GFS d(another model) does show some energy, as well.
If precipitation does develop over our region and the Tennessee Valley then it could be a wintry mix. Watch for forecast changes.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson Will be keeping an eye on the Wednesday/Thursday time frame - for forecast changes. The official NWS forecast (as of 10 pm Saturday night) does not include precipitation chances - however, this may change.
Your regional and local radars - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
-----------------
You can view current conditions - weather radar and more information by clicking here
The next few days will bring quiet weather. Not a bad start to 2011 - especially after the big severe weather outbreak at the end of December.
I will be watching a disturbance for the Wednesday/Thursday time frame and then another one towards the end of the week and into the weekend. There could be a small chance for some wintry mix added to the forecast - so stay tuned for updates.
The long range appears to be indicating that the cold weather will continue - it appears we will have some above normal temperature days, however, overall it appears it will be difficult to shake the below normal temperatures.
I may need to abandon the idea that January will end up above normal in the temperature department. The December part of the winter forecast has worked out well. Not as certain about January and February - which has always been the big question mark.
This is the kind of pattern that could produce some extreme events. The recent severe weather outbreak is a testimate to that fact.
There is some data indicating that extremely cold air could invade the central United States in the coming weeks Stay tuned!
Here is the official 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook from NOAA
The above map is the temperature outlook for the next 8-14 days. You can see that overall below noraml temperatures are forecast.
The above map is the precipitation forecast for the upcoming 8-14 day period. You can see that the probabilities favor above normal precipitation over much of the nation.
For now we will concentrate on the short range - quiet weather. I will be watching a disturbance for the Wednesday/Thursday time frame - the EC (model) has shown this event on and off. So - wI on't ignore the idea all together. GFS d(another model) does show some energy, as well.
If precipitation does develop over our region and the Tennessee Valley then it could be a wintry mix. Watch for forecast changes.
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service.
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service.
No comments:
Post a Comment