Next update will be around 9 am this morning (Thursday morning)
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Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
Severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
Chance for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
Today - A mix of clouds and sun . High near 45 degrees. East/southeast at 5 mph.
Tonight - Mostly cloudy - a few flurries over our northeast counties. Cool. Low temperatures around 30 degrees.
Friday - A few clouds. A bit warmer than previous days. High near 48-50 degrees. South winds at 10 mph. Gusts to 15 mph.
Friday Night - Becoming cloudy - a chance for showers after midnight. Rain may begin as a few sleet pellets. Low temperature around 35 degrees - rising temperatures late.
Saturday - Rain likely. A chance for thunder. Locally heavy rain at times. High near 50 degrees. South winds at 10 mph.
Saturday night - A chance for rain early - bulk of the rain moving east out of our local counties. Turning Colder. A chance for a mixture of light rain or snow late. Low temperature in the 30s. Winds becoming westerly at 15-20 mph and gusty (late).
Sunday - A chance for a period of snow showers. Windy. Falling temperatures. High temperatures early in the day. Temperatures falling into the 20s. Winds becoming west/northwest at 15-25 mph. Gusts to 35 mph. Little or no accumulation expected.
Sunday night - Clearing. Bitterly cold. Windy early in the evening. Low temperatures near 12 degrees.
Another system may impact the region towards the middle of next week. Too far out for a specific forecast on that system.
Rainfall totals on Saturday into Saturday night will likely be in the 0.50-1.25" range. .
Your local National Weather Service seven day forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here.
Your regional and local radar - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer reading this morning is in the 30.10-30.35" range. Last 24 hours of data - click here.
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No changes in my previous thoughts. Fine tuning the forecast a bit more for our immediate local counties.
I am still leaning on the idea that the low will track through southern Missouri into southern Indiana. Lot of the data is even a bit further north than that. I do not buy into the southern track idea. Very few models (if any) even show that track anymore. Either way - my previous forecast thoughts still hold and have not changed.
The precipitation could begin as some sleet pellets or even light freezing rain on Friday night late and Saturday morning - mostly as you go further north of our local counties and then further east into central and eastern Kentucky. Everything will then quickly change over to rain.
This is mostly a rain event for our region. Changing to some light snow late Saturday night into Sunday. Big story will be the cold air and wind. Low wind chills on Sunday. Cold cold cold into next week. Would not be surprised to see some single digits across portions of our region on Monday and Tuesday morning.
Either way - bitterly cold.
Here are the Monday morning forecast low temperatures. This would be cold air for January - let alone December.
For those interested in eastern Kentucky - see Chris's comments.
Here is the HPC probability map for 1" or more of snow on Sunday. You can see that we are in the low risk area. Better chances to our north and east - as expected. I will monitor for any changes. Winter storms can be tricky - so we won't take our eyes off of the proverbial ball.
Anyone that is going to travel northwest, north, or northeast on Saturday night or Sunday should check the latest forecasts and road conditions.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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