I may update with some new maps around 9 or 10 am this morning. Also some updated thoughts on the weekend storm - if I see any changes worth mentioning.
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Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
Severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
Chance for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0% A slight chance of freezing fog this morning.
Today - Some morning fog/mist. Any fog may cause a slick spot or two on bridges and overpasses. Becoming partly sunny. Cold. High near 35 degrees. North winds at 5 mph.
Tonight - A few clouds. Cold. Low temperature around 15 degrees. East/Southeast wind at 5 mph.
Thursday- Few clouds. Not as cold. High temperatures around 45 degrees. South wind at 5 mph.
Thursday Night - Increasing clouds. Not as cold. Low temperatures around 30 degrees.
Friday - A few clouds. A bit warmer than previous days. High near 48-50 degrees.
Friday Night - Becoming cloudy - a chance for showers after midnight. Low temperature around 35 degrees.
A higher than normal degree of uncertainty surrounds the forecast for Saturday into Sunday. Watch for updated forecasts - changes may be necessary.
Saturday - Rain likely. A slight chance for thunder. High near 48-50 degrees.
Saturday night - A chance for rain. Rain becoming mixed with or changing to snow. Low temperature in the 30s.
Sunday - A chance for snow showers. Windy. Falling temperatures. High temperatures early in the day. Temperatures falling into the 20s. Winds becoming west/northwest at 15-25 mph. Gusts to 30 mph.
Rainfall totals on Saturday into Saturday night will likely be in the 0.50-1.25" range. Depending on the track of the low.
It is still too early to make a forecast on snowfall accumulations. However, this is something we will just have to monitor.
The track of the area of low pressure will be key to our weather on Saturday night and Sunday. It would be foolish this far out to make a call on whether or not we see accumulating snow. We still have several more days to watch this particular storm system unfold. We will just have to be patient!
Stay tuned.
Your local National Weather Service seven day forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here. (As of this writing the forecast part of the site was down). Hopefully this will be corrected shortly.
Your regional and local radar - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer reading this morning is in the 30.10-30.35" range. Last 24 hours of data - click here.
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I would not be surprised to see winter storm warnings across portions of the Missouri and Ohio Valleys for Friday night into Sunday. Strong winds, moderate/heavy snow, and cold temperatures are going to cause some travel problems - if the latest data verifies.
Again - our LOCAL region is still on the rain/snow line. And it is still too early to make a forecast on whether or not we will see actual accumulations from any snow that falls. I am expecting light snow or snow showers on Saturday night late - Sunday.
Better snow accumulations are expected over portions of central and eastern Kentucky - in addition to snow that will fall next week because of lake effect or topography reasons. See Chris Bailey's discussion on eastern Kentucky.
One thing is for certain - colder weather will return with a vengeance on Sunday into next week. I would not be surprised to see single digits and teens (once again) over some of our counties. Single digits would be more likely if snow does accumulate.
I do have a few maps for you this morning.
The first map is showing just how cold this upcoming air mass is going to be. This map is for Monday morning and the second map is for Tuesday morning. Again - these are forecast low temperatures.
Then on Tuesday morning (map below)
Then on Wednesday morning (I think you get the idea - cold air)
Let's take a look at winds on Sunday. I am expecting winds (depending on the exact track of the low) to be in the 15-25 mph range. Higher gusts will be possible. Also falling temperatures during the day on Sunday. A raw day - to say the least. This could be the most important aspect of this storm for our region - cold cold cold.
Stay tuned for updates on this developing winter storm. Any shift in the track will have major implications on the actual forecast for our local area. I am not ready to commit to any one given model solution at this point. I am still forecasting (as you can see above) for a mostly rain event in our immediate local area. Followed by some light snow or snow showers on Saturday night and Sunday. Gusty winds and cold temperatures.
Cold weather will continue into next week. December is starting out with a BANG when it comes to the cold department.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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