This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service.
You can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
Severe or extreme weather risk for today: 0%
Severe or extreme weather risk for tonight: 0%
Chance for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
Today - Morning rain will come to an end. Cloudy early in the day. Then becoming partly sunny. Cooler. High temperature near 56 degrees. West to Northwest winds at 10 mph.
Tonight: Increasing clouds. A shower possible late. Low temperature in the upper 30s. Southeast winds at 10 mph.
Wednesday: A period of showers - possible thunderstorms. Then a lull in the precipitation. High temperatures near 60 degrees.
Wednesday night: A chance for showers in the evening. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely after midnight. A few strong storms will be possible. Temperatures steady or slowly rising. Breezy.
Thanksgiving: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Rain may end as a brief period of mixed precipitation. High temperatures early in the day and then temperatures falling in the late afternoon (there is some disagreement among models on exactly what time the front will move through). High near 65-70 early and then temperatures falling into the 30s during the late afternoon period. Windy.
As you travel on Thursday and Thursday night please remember that bridges and overpasses can have slick spots on them much faster than other roadways. Any moisture left on pavement could freeze.
Rainfall totals (from last nights rain through Thursday night) across southern Illinois and western Kentucky from Monday afternoon into Friday will be in the 1-2" range with some higher amounts possible. Rainfall in the State of Kentucky will likely be in the 1.5-3.5" range.
Your local National Weather Service seven day forecast can be viewed by clicking here.
This is a complicated forecast and I would advise everyone to listen for updates. I will update the blog if changes are needed. Also check my Facebook posts.
Local and regional interactive radars can be viewed by clicking here.
Barometer reading this morning is in the 30.10-30.30" range. Last 24 hours of data - click here.
-----------------------
I am not overly excited about the prospect of winter weather across western Kentucky with the Thanksgiving storm. But, it is something we will monitor.
Some colder air will move into the region on Thursday into Saturday - but nothing unusual. Lows will be in the 20s over western Kentucky. The cold will be transient in nature - meaning it will already start warming up by Saturday and Sunday!
I did grab this forecast map from the NAM (model). You can see the impressive temperature gradient along the front. Cold air will be moving into our region on Thursday. Click image for larger image. This map is from www.wright-weather.com
Let's take a look at what that would look like on a graph. This is impressive! This is Paducah, Kentucky - temperature graph. Note the peak before the front moves through. Then the rapid drop.
I am a bit concerned about at least some isolated severe weather on Wednesday night and Thursday over our local region - mostly to our west. We will see what SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has to say in their morning update and afternoon updates. This is one part of the forecast that we will need to update and monitor.
The SPC has placed a slight risk for severe storms to our west on Wednesday. This may need to be updated and shifted eastward - right now the main threat appears to be to our west. However, for now this is the current map forecast from the Storm Prediction Center. This is the probability map.
Don't forget you can also check Chris Bailey's forecast updates - click here.
I am watching another storm system for next Monday and Tuesday - that is in the long range. Plenty of time to watch that system. Colder weather will once again follow that storm system.
Also watching a system for around December 5-7th. Long way off - but keeping an eye on the potential for a winter storm in the central United States.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
No comments:
Post a Comment