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A few showers and thunderstorms will be scattered around our region on Friday - these are not expected to be widespread. The best chance of storms will be over the northern and northeast portion of our region
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Warmer temperatures will spread into the region on Saturday and Sunday. A warm front will pass through the area on Saturday night and Sunday morning. I can't rule out a few thunderstorms along and ahead of the warm front.
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The big concern arrives on Sunday night and especially on Monday into Monday night. Widespread showers and thunderstorms - some severe - are likely to spread into the region in advance of a strong storm system over the Central United States.
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Sunday will bring warmer temperatures and moist air into our region. This will set the stage for possible heavy rain and strong thunderstorms on Sunday night and more likely on Monday (starting to appear that Monday might be the day to zero in on). The big concern arrives on Sunday night and especially on Monday into Monday night. Widespread showers and thunderstorms - some severe - are likely to spread into the region in advance of a strong storm system over the Central United States.
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Rainfall totals with the system could be in the 1-2" range with locally heavier amounts. As always with severe weather the finer details will need to be worked out in the coming days. I do believe there will be a risk for some tornadoes on Sunday night to our west and then in or near our region on Monday. Large hail and damaging wind will also be a concern.
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Stay tuned
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There remains questions on timing of the system for Sunday night into Monday morning. At this time it appears the greatest risk for strong and/or severe thunderstorms will arrive on Monday. However, if the system speeds up then we may need to also monitor Sunday night. ---
Stay tuned
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Bottom Line It For Me Beau - for far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
Bottom Line It For Me Beau - for far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Friday: A mix of sun and clouds with a few scattered showers or thunderstorms around the region - widely scattered.
Highs: middle 50s | Wind: West/southwest winds at 5-15 mph and gusty. ---
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Friday night: Clearing skies.
Lows: middle to upper 30s | Wind: West winds at 5 mph
Lows: middle to upper 30s | Wind: West winds at 5 mph
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Saturday: Partly sunny and warmer.
Highs: around 65 degrees | Wind: West winds at 10-15 mph. Gusty.---
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Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms late. Mild.
Lows: 43 degrees | Wind: Northwest at 10 mph.
Lows: 43 degrees | Wind: Northwest at 10 mph.
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Sunday: Partly cloudy much warmer with a few thunderstorms in the morning. Windy at times.
Highs: middle 70s | Wind: Winds becoming southeast at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.---
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Here are the forecasted 5 day rainfall totals for the region - you get the general idea. Some heavy rain is possible on Sunday night into Monday night (that is when most of this will fall).
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Here are the forecasted 5 day rainfall totals for the region - you get the general idea. Some heavy rain is possible on Sunday night into Monday night (that is when most of this will fall).
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page
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Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site (simply click on the day of the week for the latest video).
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: No severe weather is forecast in our area.
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The Storm Prediction Center has outlined the following area for Monday - they are concerned, as well, about a potential severe thunderstorm event over our region. This forecast will be fine tuned in the coming days. The area outlined in orange is the risk zone they have painted for Monday (note the date stamp at the top of the image is incorrect and should read Monday through Tuesday 8 am)
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site - please check them out! We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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Looking aheadWatching another system towards the end of next week.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson McCracken County Office of Emergency Management ---
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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