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9 AM Update---
Unsettled weather ahead of us with several chances of rain and possibly some severe weather later in the weekend and early next week...
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A cool morning greets are region - temperatures are in the upper 30s and lower 40s across most of our counties. ---
Snow and rain has moved off to our east over the last few hours. We are left with mostly cloudy skies. The sun should make some attempt to poke through the clouds later this morning. If this does happen then temperatures should rise into the 50s.
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I am increasingly concerned about a severe weather event for Sunday into Monday. I will need to tweak the time frame. A warm front will pass through the region on Saturday night - ahead of the warm front there could be some showers and thunderstorms. These are expected to remain below severe levels. Can't rule out small hail.---
A chance for showers and thunderstorms will return late on Thursday into Thursday night.---
Then a bigger storm system will approach the region on Sunday into Sunday night. This system may bring a round of severe thunderstorms in or near our region on Sunday night into Monday. Again - the timing is a bit in question. Our region will need to monitor this event.---
Rainfall totals from the Sunday into Monday system could top 1".---
CAPE values (amount of energy in the atmosphere) and wind fields with this storm (Sunday/Monday) appear strong enough to warrant our attention. Stay tuned---
Morning temperatures across the area (8 AM temps)
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Rainfall totals from the Thursday evening and Thursday night system are shown below. Fairly light with most amounts in the 0.10-0.30" range.
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Previous Update
Wednesday, March 30, 2011 ---
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Rain will come to an end on Wednesday morning. Another system arrives Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening bringing more rain chances. Rumble of thunder possible.
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Friday will be quite windy. Watching another weak storm for Friday afternoon but confidence is low on whether or not it will produce precipitation. Will mention a shower - for now.
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One good bit of news - warmer weather will arrive for the weekend! Yes - you heard that right - warmer air for the weekend. :)
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A few showers will likely accompany the warm front on Saturday night. A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out on Saturday night.
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I am still monitoring the Sunday night into Monday afternoon time frame for a severe weather outbreak over portions of the central United States down into the Tennessee Valley/Mississippi River Valley.
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Bottom Line It For Me Beau - for far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
Bottom Line It For Me Beau - for far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Wednesday: Rain will come to an end - chance for mixed precipitation over our northern counties - again coming to an end during the morning hours. Chilly with below normal temperatures.
Highs: lower to middle 50s | Wind: North/northeast winds at 5-10 mph.---
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Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Cold with below normal temperatures.
Lows: middle 30s | Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Lows: middle 30s | Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
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Thursday: Increasing clouds with a chance for rain showers late in the day. .
Highs: around 45 degrees | Wind: South winds at 10 mph.---
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Thursday night: Showers likely. Chilly.
Lows: 35-38 degrees | Wind: South/southwest at 10-20 mph.
Lows: 35-38 degrees | Wind: South/southwest at 10-20 mph.
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Friday: Windy. Rain coming to an end. Possible shower late in the day. .
Highs: upper 50s | Wind: West winds at 15-30 mph. Gusty.---
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Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site (simply click on the day of the week for the latest video).
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: No severe weather is forecast in our area.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site - please check them out! We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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Looking aheadWe will be watching a system for Thursday night and Friday morning - to bring more rain.
We will be watching for a possible severe weather event on Sunday night into Monday afternoon.
Watching another system towards the end of next week.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson McCracken County Office of Emergency Management ---
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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