Monday, March 28, 2011: Snow/Rain ending - cooler - more rain on the way!

Monday, March 28, 2011

Morning update -

Rain/snow will be moving out during the early am hours - before sunrise.  Precipitation will push off to the east.

More rain chances rain/snow chances arrive in the region on Tuesday into Tuesday night.

The rest of the forecast is below


-  Beau


Monday, March 28, 2011 
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Rain and snow that moved through the area on Sunday night should be coming to an end on Monday morning before sunrise.  At the time of this writing (9 pm Sunday) it appears the chances for any significant accumulations of snow are fairly low.  If a band of snow were to set up over the area then some accumulation would be possible on grassy surfaces.  Would not rule out a band of 1-3" of snow.  

This is highly dependent on whether or not the band of snow can actually develop.  Bottom line - low confidence in any accumulation and the most likely area for accumulation would be over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  There is even a chance of some of that snow snow/rain mix pushing into parts of western Kentucky as the system pulls away late on Sunday night and early Monday morning. Again, this is not a big deal and most people wouldn't even see the snow because it will be so early  in the morning (early Monday morning between 12 am and 4 am)

I did note that one of the high resolution models did show 1-4" of snow over southeast Missouri into southern Illinois.  Wet snow.  Below is the graphic - it is a tough call because ground temperatures are warm and temperatures are marginal for snow accumulation.  Again, really not a big deal.
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Otherwise, an unsettled weather pattern ahead of us.  Cool days with below normal temperatures and several chances of rain (and even snow over some of our counties - we just can't shake the late winter pattern).  

I am forecasting warmer weather this coming weekend!  We will likely see some 60s and 70s by Saturday and Sunday!  I know all of you are looking forward to warmer temperatures.  
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I am watching a potential severe weather maker for the central United States around Sunday into Monday (April 3rd through April 5th).  Long way off - but worth watching.  There could be several rounds of severe weather over the next couple of weeks as we see a potential shift in the overall pattern.  Stay tuned!
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Bottom Line It For Me Beau - for far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky

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Monday: Rain and snow ending.  Becoming partly sunny.  Cool with below normal temperatures. Rainfall totals less than 0.30" before sunrise.
Highs:  upper 40s to lower 50s.  | Wind:  Northeast winds at 5-10 mph.
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Monday night:  Cloudy.  Cold with below normal temperatures.
Lows:  middle 30s  | Wind: Northeast winds at 10 mph
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Tuesday:  Mostly cloudy with showers increasing during the day. Cool with below normal temperatures. 
Highs: around 50 degrees - cooler over the northern and western part of the region  |  Wind: Northeast winds at 10 mph.
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Tuesday night: Rain - a chance for snow over our northern and northwestern counties.  A chance for a rumble of thunder, as well.  Chilly.  Total rainfall on Tuesday and Tuesday night should be in the 0.30-0.60" range.  Some snow accumulation is possible over the far northern parts of southeast Missouri and over the far northern parts of southern Illinois.  Will need to monitor the rain/snow line.
Lows:  32-34 degrees | Wind: North/northeast at 5-10 mph.
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Wednesday: Rain and rain/snow coming to an end during the morning hours.  Then a mix of sun and clouds.  Slightly warmer.
Highs:  Lower to middle 50s  | Wind: North winds at 10 mph. 

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Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site (simply click on the day of the week for the latest video).
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
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----The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: No severe weather is forecast in our area on Monday or Monday night.
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Your 5 day rainfall forecast (most of this will fall on Tuesday into Wednesday morning).  The scale is at the top of the graphic.  As you can see, most of our region is in the 0.25-0.60" range.  Locally heavier amounts. 
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site - please check them out!  We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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Looking ahead

Widespread precipitation again on Tuesday into Tuesday night

We will be watching a system for Thursday - low confidence for precipitation chances
We will be watching for a possible severe weather event around April 3rd or 4th  medium confidence

Meteorologist Beau Dodson McCracken County Office of Emergency Management ---
 

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