5 PM Update
No changes.
Weekend storm still appears too far south to impact our region. However, this could change. There has been some back and forth on the path track. Track is key :) - so stay tuned! It appears a big storm is taking shape - just a matter of where does it track - to our south or further north.
Light snow and flurries from Thursday night into Saturday - possible. Not looking like anything significant for our immediate area. Will monitor.
Next chance for precip would arrive Monday/Tuesday then again later next week.
- Beau
January 5, 2011
11 AM Update
No changes in forecast
Light snow/rain/sleet mix scattered over the region this morning - no big deal.
Cold tonight - cold through next week.
Light snow and flurries possible Thursday night into Saturday. More to the east/northeast. No changes in those thoughts.
The Saturday night into Sunday snowstorm is so far south this morning in the new data that we receive no precipitation at all. The Sat night into Sunday system will need to be watched. Track is key. Too far south and we end up with nothing - further north and we will have snow. Just have to watch for forecast changes in the coming days.
Better chance of some snow on Monday into Tuesday - but once again - the track is in question.
Too far out to make a call at this time.
Long range - battle zone will be near our region as we ride between cold and warm to the south. Should keep the pattern active.
- Beau
January 5, 2011:
Extremely complicated pattern for the coming 10 day period with several chances for precipitation. Big questions remain on storm tracks and precipitation type. I will update the blog a few times today with the latest information.
Let's keep in mind that the exact track of the areas of low pressure and energy will determine if we receive any precipitation at all from the weekend event and the event early next week.
New video has been posted for January 5th - Transportation Cabinet snowfall forecasts included in the video update. .http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
You can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%
The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: Light flurries possible later today and tonight - more to the south. Chance for flurries and snow showers Thursday night into Friday.
Forecast:
Wednesday...Becoming cloudy. Slight chance for flurries - especially over our southern counties. Highs in the mid 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night...Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds around 5 mph.
Thursday...A few clouds. Highs around 40. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night...Becoming cloudy with a chance for flurries or snow showers - especially over our eastern counties. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Friday...A mix of sun and clouds. Flurries or snow showers possible - windy. Highs around 34 degrees.
Friday Night...Partly cloudy - a few flurries. Lows around 17.
Your regional and local radars - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
-----------------
You can view current conditions - weather radar and more information by clicking here
A weak system will push to our south today. A few flurries or light snow showers will be possible over our southern counties. Not expecting this to be a big deal. Will monitor radar today and trends. But - not expecting much out of this.
A stronger cold front will approach the region at the end of the week. Flurries and snow showers will be possible along and behind this front. The big story continues to be the cold air the will push into the region over the next 2 weeks.
Please see the video for transportation cabinet snowfall forecasts.
Here is what the NAM model is showing from today through Saturday morning. You get the general idea with placement of snowfall. Mainly to our east. Click for larger view.
A significant weather event is possible late Saturday night into next Tuesday - two weather systems are showing up on the medium range maps. There are a lot of questions surrounding precipitation chances and precipitation type for this time period.
Some of the data brings heavy snow and sleet into our region - while other data takes the storm system too far south to produce anything significant in our local counties. Stay tuned for updates.
Obviously confidence is low that this event will bring us anything at all. So - best we can do is update over the next few days and watch the storm track.
Also - cold air is going to rule the day for the coming 10 day period. Here are the Sunday morning temperatures. Cold - even colder air is expected next week.
I will update the blog today with the latest information - look for an update around 11 am and another update around 5 pm. Complicated forecast - as always.
If you would like to be added to the severe weather email list then please email me and request to be added - I usually send out an email during significant weather events. Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
-----------------
You can view current conditions - weather radar and more information by clicking here
A weak system will push to our south today. A few flurries or light snow showers will be possible over our southern counties. Not expecting this to be a big deal. Will monitor radar today and trends. But - not expecting much out of this.
A stronger cold front will approach the region at the end of the week. Flurries and snow showers will be possible along and behind this front. The big story continues to be the cold air the will push into the region over the next 2 weeks.
Please see the video for transportation cabinet snowfall forecasts.
Here is what the NAM model is showing from today through Saturday morning. You get the general idea with placement of snowfall. Mainly to our east. Click for larger view.
A significant weather event is possible late Saturday night into next Tuesday - two weather systems are showing up on the medium range maps. There are a lot of questions surrounding precipitation chances and precipitation type for this time period.
Some of the data brings heavy snow and sleet into our region - while other data takes the storm system too far south to produce anything significant in our local counties. Stay tuned for updates.
Obviously confidence is low that this event will bring us anything at all. So - best we can do is update over the next few days and watch the storm track.
Also - cold air is going to rule the day for the coming 10 day period. Here are the Sunday morning temperatures. Cold - even colder air is expected next week.
I will update the blog today with the latest information - look for an update around 11 am and another update around 5 pm. Complicated forecast - as always.
If you would like to be added to the severe weather email list then please email me and request to be added - I usually send out an email during significant weather events. Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service.
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service.
No comments:
Post a Comment