October 4, 2010: No changes - dry weather to continue

October 4, 2010:

Dry weather will continue - expect an increase in rain chances around or after the 15th-18th time period. 

For a look at our tower cams (lot of deer wandering the grounds) - your seven day forecast - radar - and current conditions you can visit our link at http://www.weatherobservatory.com/

I hope everyone had a nice weekend.  I know the weather was a bit windy - but otherwise nice.

No real changes in the forecast thoughts.  This week will bring below normal temperatures and below normal rainfall.  No rain is expected, as a matter of fact.

During the upcoming 15 day period it appears that 5-6 days will be below normal in the temperature department and 4-6 days will be above normal in the temperature department.  Several days are expected to bring near normal temperatures.  The normal high for this time of the year is around 75 degrees and the normal low for this time of year is around 45 degrees.

The dry weather is expected to continue for the next 10 days.  I am watching a system around the middle of the month.  But, there is plenty of time to monitor that potential.

Some moderation in temperatures can be expected later this week and into next week.  Closer to normal highs and lows - compared with the much below normal temperatures of the last couple of days.

Otherwise - cool weather for the next few nights.  Expect another round of frost tonight - most likely more widespread than this mornings event (which was light in most areas).  I recorded a low of 34 degrees.  Impressive for this early in the season.

Let's take a look back at the last seven days - departure from normal map (temperature).  Much below normal temperatures have been recorded over the region.  This is in stark contrast to the last few months (which brought above normal temperatures week after week).  A nice change of pace.  As always - click image for larger view.





















And just look at this map below.  Bringing home the fact of just how dry it has been.  This is the percent of normal precipitation for the last seven days.  You can see that we have basically had little or no rainfall in the region.  The drought will continue to worsen in the weeks to come.  We desperately need rain.  Click image for larger view.






















And the same map - below.  Except now we are looking back at the last 30 days.  Note where the remnants of Tropical Storm Hermine tracked - that helped the situation a little bit.  Much of the Ohio Valley has been bone dry.  Click image for larger view.





















And a feast or famine map.  Just look at the stark difference between areas to our north and our local region.  The areas in blue/purple/pink are WELL above normal in the rainfall department. Areas in yellow and orange are below normal in the rainfall department.





















The fire departments are asking people to refrain from burning brush and grass.  Several counties have burn bans in effect.

Enjoy the beautiful week.

- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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