9 PM Update - heavy showers and thunderstorms continue over portions of the region. Some scattered reports of small hail, as well. Thunderstorms should start to die off over the next few hours. Storms were a bit more widespread today than expected. More shower and thunderstorm chances tomorrow. A few heavy cells possible.
5 PM Update - showers and thunderstorms have developed over the region. A few of the stronger cells could produce pea size hail and gusty winds. Lightning, as well. Locally heavy downpours for those fortunate enough to find themselves under a cell. There have been a few small hail reports in Tennessee and near Mt Vernon. Nothing significant.
Your official seven day NWS forecast can be viewed here - click here.
No significant/widespread severe weather is expected for the next seven days. Scattered strong storms are possible today - especially over Arkansas and Tennessee.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected this afternoon into Wednesday. Not everyone will receive rainfall. Those that do find themselves under a cell could experience gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall.
I am still forecasting a more active storm pattern after the 18th of October. Several chances of precipitation.
Normal to above normal temperatures for the most part for the near term. Then it appears we may turned colder towards the end of the month.
Your national weather map for this morning: Click image for larger view.
The local map (below) from the Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service Office (click for larger view)
Can you believe we are nearing the middle of October? I can't. Just amazing how fast this year has passed us by.
The leaves continue to turn. I am seeing more and more reds, yellows, and orange colors in the leaves with each passing day. I am starting to think you can almost watch the leaves turn before your very eyes! Seems like it is always that way.
It has been so dry lately that large dust devils have been forming in the fields. There are several photographs of the dust devils on the Paducah, Kentucky - National Weather Service web-site. You can view them by clicking here.
There were a few showers and even a thunderstorm scattered around the region last night. Not a drop here at the Weather Obervatory. A few people did receive trace amounts.
A few more showers and thunderstorms are expected to be scattered across the region today and tonight. Some strong storms are possible today across portions of Arkansas and Tennessee. Mostly south of our region.
I still think the best chance for precipitation will come next week. Let's hope. We are extremely dry. Your official seven day NWS forecast can be viewed here - click here. You can also check local radar by clicking here.
Burn bans remain in effect for many of our local counties. Local officials are asking residents not to burn brush, grass, or debris until we receive a substantial rainfall.
Here is a map that shows the percent of normal precipitation for the United States. All of the red area indicates little precipitation has fallen during the past 11 days. Impressive area of below normal precipitation. Fall has been extremely dry and warm for most of the region.
A roller coast of sorts for the next few weeks - warm to cold - warm to cold. Nothing unusual - it is fall!
Here is the map: Click for larger image
You can track Hurricane Paula on the National Hurricane Web-site - here. There is a lot of uncertainty as to where this system heads in the coming days. Some data takes it towards Florida - other data takes it into Cuba and then back southward. Needless to say - there is low confidence in the forecast. Stay tuned!
Here is the latest official track forecast for the system. Slow mover.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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