.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer ---
--
This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here Remainder of tonight - Friday night: Mostly clear. Near normal temperatures. Lows: in the 65-60 degree range | Wind: North winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
-
-
Saturday: Sunny and warm. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 87-92 degree range. | Heat index: Values - 92-97 degrees | Wind: Northeast winds at 10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees. .
Saturday night: Mostly clear. Mild. Near normal temperatures.Lows: around 68-70 degrees | Wind: Northeasterly winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
-
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Hot and humid. Near normal to above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 95-100 degrees | Heat index: around 100-113 degrees | Wind: Southwest winds at 10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.-
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 73 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.-
Monday: Partly sunny - hot and humid - a few scattered thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 97 degrees | Heat index: In the 100-112 degree range - locally higher | Wind: Easterly winds at 10 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees. -
.
.
Weekend forecast looks great. A bit on the warm/hot side - heat index levels may end up in the upper 90s to near 100 - locally higher. Keep that in mind. Light winds should make for nice lake conditions. Sunny skies should also work in the favor of those who want to get out and enjoy some camping.
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.
Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. A few thunderstorms scattered around. A few storms
You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
.
.
Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storm is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
.
Saturday's severe weather outlook graphic. Remember that these maps are updated several times a day - so check the main link here for the latest outlooks.
.
.
Sunday's severe weather outlook - Remember that these maps are updated several times a day - so check the main link here for the latest outlooks.
.
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
---
All other states- Click Here
.
.
.
HEADLINE: I am jumping ship on the below normal temperatures for July. It just is not showing up in the cards. The medium and long range show the probabilities favor above normal temperatures. That has been the case since early June and has continued to be the case during the past week - for the most part.
.
Sticking with the northwest flow and above normal rainfall - which has verified nicely since the middle of June. At least got that part of the forecast correct - thus far!.
Could the pattern switch towards the end of July into August? Yes. It certainly could and there are signals that is should - however, without something more concrete than a few signals we will stick with the above normal temperatures into the near term. .
The weekend will be dry and nice. A bit warm - but not too bad. Heat index values could approach the upper 90s and 100 degree mark - see graphics below. Keep that in mind if you have to work outdoors in the coming days..
. Significant to major flooding will continue on portions of the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins. This will be a long summer of flooding for some areas. We are also concerned that the Ohio River will continue to back up. This could cause flooding over parts of southern IL and western KY. Stay tuned.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
.
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
.
Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
.
.
We are going to have to monitor the current pattern - these mesoscale thunderstorm complexes that keep moving through the region can produce heavy rainfall. This will cause rivers to rise even further. .
The Ohio River is starting to back up because of the high water levels on the Mississippi River. This is going to be a concern for quite some time to come (perhaps WELL into the summer months). Those living along rivers should monitor updated forecasts.
.
You can read more about the summer flood threat by clicking HERE
To read the article below click here.
.
.
To view the interactive river map below - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.
.
.
.
River Forecast Stages - Click Here
.
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
.
If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
.
NO RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST!
.
.
I have thunderstorm probabilities available on the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
.
Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
.
.
Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
.
Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon.
.
.
.
Below image - Low temperatures for Sunday morning
.
.
Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
.
.
Below image - Low temperatures for Monday morning
.
.
Below image - High temperatures for Monday afternoon
.
.
.
Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
.
Saturday - Sunday - Monday images
.
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
.
The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
.
For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
.
First map is for Saturday and the second map is for Sunday - followed by the Monday map.
.
As you can see - ABOVE normal temperatures will be the rule.
.
666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666
These are the record highs and lows for July 6th and July 7th, 2011. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
.
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
--------------------
.
No tropical weather is forecast for the next 24 hours.
.
You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site.
.
Latest Official National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.
--------------------
.
.
You can see from the maps (over the last weeks worth of posting) that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
.
Here is the percent soil moisture index capacity. Wet conditions across parts of our region - however rain is still needed across parts of southern Missouri down into Arkansas and Tennessee. Of course the severe drought continues to our south and west.
.
You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
.
---
--
You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
.
.
You can see from these maps that above normal temperatures are forecast to continue for the medium range. Just can't shake the above normal temperatures.
.
The orange and red areas on the map indicate where temperatures are expected to be above normal - this is a probability chart - the deeper the orange and red the better chance for above normal temperatures..
If we look at the last seven days worth of temperature data you can see that the region has been above normal. Click images for real size view.
.
.
.
.
.
And the above map shows you the departure from normal precipitation - basically the green and blue areas would be above normal precipitation. You can see that ring of fire that I talked about back in May. An area of above normal precipitation with drought beneath it..
1. As you can see in the above maps - above normal temperatures are in the forecast for the mid and long range period. This will wreck havoc with the forecast for the summer - which was for above normal precipitation (which has happened) and below normal temperatures (which has not happened).
2. The next chance for thunderstorms will arrive towards the middle of next week. Perhaps as early as Monday night or Tuesday - but more likely Tuesday night into Thursday - will need to tweak the forecast over the weekend.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
---
All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
.
Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
.
You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
---
Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
.
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
--------------------
I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
.
---
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service! .
No comments:
Post a Comment