July 26th-July 28th Forecast - typical summer weather! No surprises

Tuesday through Thursday Forecast - July 26th-28th 

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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here is my current personal forecast thoughts... 


Remainder of tonight - Monday night:  A few clouds.  Near normal temperatures.  Lows:  in the 71-73 degree range  | Wind: Calm.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 10%
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Watches and warnings - click here
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Tuesday:  Partly cloudy.  Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures.
Highs:  in the 90-94 degree range.  | Heat index:  Values - 100 degrees | Wind:  East winds at 5 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%



Tuesday night:  Clear.  Near normal temperatures.
Lows: around 70-74 degrees  |  Wind:  South winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%
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Wednesday:  A few clouds.  Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 92-95 degrees   | Heat index:  around 100-104 degrees  | Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.   Precipitation probability - 0%

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Wednesday night:  Clear and mild.  Near normal temperatures.
Lows: around 73 degrees  |  Wind: Southerly winds  at 5 mph.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%
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Thursday: Partly cloudy.  Hot. Above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 94-96 degrees  |  Heat index:  In the 98-108 degree range  Wind: Southwesterly winds at 10 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%
Heat safety advice and information - click here
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No big changes - adjusted temperatures a little bit.  Typical summer weather.
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Heat safety advice and information - click here



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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...  


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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
 

Monday night:  
Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Tuesday:
Severe weather is not anticipated
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Tuesday night:  Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday:
 
Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday night:   Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Thursday: 
Severe weather is not anticipated.


You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.

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Here are the graphics for the coming days.  Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms.  The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather.  The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits.  A severe storm is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger.  And/or tornadoes.
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No organized severe weather in our region is currently forecast.  You can view the most up to date graphics by clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here

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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above.  The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map.  To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE:   Classic summer weather - no surprises no dramatic headlines.  Temperatures will continue to be near to above normal over the upcoming week.  Mostly dry.  Many areas picked up 1/2-1" of rain over the weekend (not everyone - but many areas).  That was helpful for the farmers.  Unfortunately some areas were missed by the heavier storms. 
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.


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Fine camping weather over the next few days.  Winds will be light.  Temperatures will be near normal to slightly above normal.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees and normal lows are around 70 degrees.

Heat safety advice and information - click here
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Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here.
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To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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You can read more about the summer flood threat by clicking HERE
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To view our interactive river map - click here.  The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.  
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The flood forecast from NOAA - mostly along the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins - then north and northwest of there.
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River Forecast Stages - Click Here  
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours.  Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time.  This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit.  Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have thunderstorm probabilities available on the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist.  Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.


ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Tuesday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Tuesday afternoon.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Wednesday morning.
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Below image - High temperatures for Wednesday afternoon
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Below image - Low temperatures for Thursday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon.  You can view this map for other days by clicking here.  Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined.  Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
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Heat index values will not be nearly as bad as last week.  Some good news in the mix.
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
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Heat safety advice and information - click here

How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees).  This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in.  Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?  
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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First map is for Tuesday and then the Wednesday and Thursday maps.  Broken record?  Apparently - we just can't shake the warmer than normal weather.  
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These are the record highs and lows for July 22nd through July 24th, 2011.  A smattering of records - but nothing unusual.  It is summer!  The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures.  To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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No tropical weather to be concerned about at this time for the Continental United States.  Don has formed in the Atlantic.  Track Don here.
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here  - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site. 

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Latest Official National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.

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You can see from the maps (over the last weeks worth of posting) that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.

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Here is the latest crop moisture index.  Most of our region is in the normal category.  Although some areas could still use some rain.  Much of southern Illinois and western Kentucky picked up 1/2-1" (some areas more) over the last 2 days. 
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation!  Maps are available by clicking here.
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You can see from these maps that above normal temperatures are forecast to continue for the medium range and long range.   Seems like a broken record.

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The orange and red areas on the map indicate where temperatures are expected to be above normal - this is a probability chart - the deeper the orange and red the better chance for above normal temperatures.
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1.  Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures this week.  No big news on the weather front.  Some areas still could use a little rain - but that does not appear likely over the next few days.





To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

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All other states- Click Here

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends. 
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Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well!  Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page?  This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster.  Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.


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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes.  Basically this is a "heads up" email.  If you would like to subscribe then click here.   
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This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service!


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