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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here.
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Here is my current personal forecast thoughts...
Remainder of tonight - Friday night: A few clouds. Isolated thunderstorm possible - mainly over the northern part of the region - Illinois/Indiana/northern Kentucky Mild. Well above normal temperatures. Lows: in the 73-76 degree range | Wind: Southwest winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 20%
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Watches and warnings - click here
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Watches and warnings - click here
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Saturday: Heat wave. Partly cloudy with a few thunderstorms. Hot. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 96-98 degree range. | Heat index: Values - 100-115 degrees | Wind: South winds at 5 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30% Heat safety advice and information - click here
Lows: around 74-76 degrees | Wind: South winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 20%
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Sunday: Heat wave. A few clouds. Hot and humid. A few scattered thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 91-96 degrees | Heat index: around 100-110 degrees | Wind: South/southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 40%Heat safety advice and information - click here
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Sunday night: A few clouds. A few scattered thunderstorms. Very mild. Well above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 74-77 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%-
Monday: Partly cloudy - hot and humid. A few scattered thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 92-96 degrees | Heat index: In the 95-102 degree range - locally higher | Wind: Southwesterly winds at 10 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 20%Heat safety advice and information - click here
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The heat continues and continues. June and July have both been amazingly above normal in both temperatures and rainfall. This pattern will continue into the near term. Any hope of below normal temperatures - at least for the time being - is off the table. Updated thunderstorm chances for the weekend and tweaked temperatures.
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Heat safety advice and information - click here .
Tropical Storm Bret and Cindy have formed in the Atlantic - see the tropical discussion .
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Friday night: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
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Saturday: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
Saturday: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
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Saturday night: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
.Sunday: Scattered thunderstorms around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
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Sunday night: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
.Monday: A few thunderstorms scattered around the area - locally heavy downpours (brief in nature) - lightning - gusty winds. Isolated severe risk.
You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storm is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
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No organized severe weather in our region is currently forecast. You can view the most up to date graphics by clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above. The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map. To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Hot weather to continue. Broken record? Yes, it is. There are no strong signals for any dramatic cooling. There are signals that we may see some moderation in temperatures. Instead of mid to upper 90s perhaps lower to middle 90s. Not sure that helps the situation - much. But - we will take what we can get.
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A cold front will be near the region over the next few days. That means there will be an increased chance for showers and thunderstorms. Although organized severe weather is not forecast - there could be a few isolated severe storms. The main concern with thunderstorms will be lightning and brief heavy rain. Strong winds will be possible with the heaviest storm cells..
Perhaps the best chance of storms will be on Sunday. Although thunderstorms will be possible tonight all the way into Monday. .
Take a look at all of the records over the past week - these are the record highs and record high minimums. Ton of broken records..
You can view all the details of the records by clicking here.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Heat safety advice and information - click here
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Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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You can read more about the summer flood threat by clicking HERE
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To view our interactive river map - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.
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River Forecast Stages - Click Here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have thunderstorm probabilities available on the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Sunday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Monday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Monday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
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Friday through Monday images. HOT (potentially dangerous and already proven deadly this summer) will be the norm in the coming days. Remember these are heat index values - what the temperature will feel like to your skin.
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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First map is for Saturday and then the Sunday and Monday maps - WELL above normal temperatures will be the rule in the coming days. We just can't shake this pattern.
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These are the record highs and lows for July 19th through July 21st, 2011. A smattering of records - but nothing unusual. It is summer! The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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Several tropical systems of interest off of the southeast coast of the United States - these systems will not impact the United States - outside of some wave action/rip currents.
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site.
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Latest Official National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.
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You can see from the maps (over the last weeks worth of posting) that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
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Here is the soil moisture anomaly map - you can see that the drought is attempting to creep into our region. This will need to be monitored in the coming weeks. Also how much rain is needed to end the drought - map. You can see just how close the drought is to our region..
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
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You can see from these maps that above normal temperatures are forecast to continue for the medium range and long range. Seems like a broken record.
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The orange and red areas on the map indicate where temperatures are expected to be above normal - this is a probability chart - the deeper the orange and red the better chance for above normal temperatures. .
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1. Heat will continue. No big changes in the pattern. We will have a few chances for thunderstorms in the coming week. Summer is here to stay for the medium range. I wish I had better news.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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