November 14, 2010: GOOD SUNDAY MORNING!

November 14, 2010:

NOTE:  The seven day forecast is down on my web-site.  Hope to have it fixed by tomorrow!

But, I can give it to you here - just as well!

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You can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.  Also, be sure and tell your friends about the blog postings.  I spend quite a bit of time working on these updates - so the more people they are shared with the more I feel like it is time well spent!

Bottom line it for me Beau...

For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...

Severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow:  0%

Fire risk/danger will be quite high today.  Please don't burn brush or leaves.  Burn bans are still in effect for numerous counties.


Today - Sun with just a cloud or two.  High near 55 degrees.  Southwest winds 5-10 mph.

Tonight - Clear.  Cool.  Low near 32 degrees.  South winds 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow - Mostly sunny.  High temperature near 56 degrees.  Southeast wind 5-10 mph.

Monday night - A few clouds.  Low temperature near 36 degrees.  East winds at 5 mph.

Tuesday - Becoming cloudy.  A 30% chance of a shower late in the day - especially to our east/southeast.  High temperature near 54 degrees.  South/southeast winds at 5 mph.

Tuesday night - a 30% chance of a shower - especially over the south and eastern counties.  Low temperature of 35 degrees.  

Wednesday - Partly sunny.  High temperature near 60 degrees.  Winds gusty from the south/southwest at 15 mph.

Wednesday night - Cloudy with a 20% chance of a shower.  Low near 34 degrees.

Thursday - Partly cloudy.  Cooler.  High temperature near 48 degrees.

Dry from Friday into Saturday.

Barometer reading this morning is in the 30.10-30.20" range.  Last 24 hours of data - click here. 

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We picked up some much needed rain on Saturday.  Some fog, as well.  Did it look like fall outside?  I took this photograph of my Oak Tree.  So beautiful!  Made me remember all of the past falls when I was growing up on the farm - that tree has been here for over 100 years!  Click for larger view.

























We do not have any extreme weather to be concerned about this week.  The models try to fool everyone - they have been wrong for awhile now.  So - take them with a grain of salt.

The next storm system I am watching will move in from the south and southwest.  This will occur on Tuesday.  Rain will spread into the Tennessee Valley.  The big question mark is whether it can push far enough north to impact our counties.  I am fairly certain our southeastern counties and eastern counties will see some rain.  But - I am not as bullish on areas west/north of the Ohio River.  I included a chance of rain - for now.  I will tweak this forecast tomorrow.  We can keep our fingers crossed - we desperately need more rain.

Another clipper type system will push in from the north on Wednesday/Wednesday evening.  This could spark an area of rain rain/snow to our north.  A small chance of precipitation has been added to the forecast for our local counties.  More likely as you more north and northeast.

Our next interesting weather will arrive next week.  Several shots of cold air are likely to usher in from the north and west.  Some precipitation will also be possible (especially around Monday or Tuesday).  Hopefully we receive some much needed rainfall.  We will have to wait a few more days to make a call on how much precipitation and what type.  We are entering winter - as you know.

I am most bullish - and have been for awhile - on a storm system around next Monday into Wednesday - week of Thanksgiving.  Appears to be a rain maker.

With that in mind - don't forget to check out my winter weather forecast (a few days back - here on the forum).  Also check out the new snowstorm rating system that I will be using this winter.  It is impact based.

Thanksgiving - at least at this point - is looking chilly.  But, that is okay - right?  Thanksgiving should feel like Thanksgiving!

Here is the official NAM (one model of choice) rainfall projections for this week.  There are questions as to how far north the Tuesday system will make it.  You can see what this models believes will happen - note the heaviest rains to our south and east.  That is almost certain.  What is not as certain are the amounts in west Kentucky.  This image is from www.wright-weather.com - my choice site for data.





















Let's take a quick look at your daily weather map - click for large view.





















More information on Winter Weather Preparedness Weeks - click here.  Big thank you goes out to the Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service Office.  They spend a lot of time on preparing everyone for winter.  Conferences were held last week and will be held this week - in our region.  The conferences are to help better prepared people for the upcoming winter season!

If you are looking for Eastern US WX - lot of weather fans loved that site - it has moved.  Click here for the new web-site. 

Do you want to see some winter weather - remember yesterday when I posted the weather radar maps from the snowstorm to our north?  Well - did it dump some snow!  The wet kind.  Beautiful photos on Wunderground this morning.  That is a web-site for people interested in weather.




















From a poster called Twincitiesweatherguy.  He is from Minnesota.




















Another one from someone who calls themself Lagies.

You can view more photographs by clicking here.

Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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