Monday - 10 AM
Increased chances for rain a bit today - thunderstorms are possible. A couple of storms could be on the strong or severe side. Remember a severe storms is one that produces 1" or larger hail, 58 mph winds, and/or a tornado.
Best chance for precipitation will be afternoon into evening hours as a cold front approaches.
Watches and warnings can be viewed here - click here
Sunday - 5 pm update
Lowered rain chances even more tonight. Not a good situation with the drought. Next chance for some showers/storms will be later tonight and again on Monday into Monday night. Once again it will not rain everywhere and many areas will remain dry.
The drought will grow worse this week.
Sunday - 11 am update:
Lowered precipitation chances for today - the best chance of rain will be the southern and eastern counties. Many areas will remain dry.
June 9th-12th 2012
Saturday through Tuesday update
I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will come in and update the forecast as needed.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: Scattered less than 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph - gusty winds near thunderstorms
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50" but some thunderstorms could produce heavy rainfall in localized areas
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Saturday night: Warm and more humid - an increase in clouds. Slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm late at night - mainly southern counties in the area. To view radars - click here
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: Scattered less than 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Sunday: Warm - humid - scattered showers and thunderstorms - some thunderstorms may produce very heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds. Not everyone will experience rain - this will be the case in the coming days. I would not cancel any plans - I would just be aware that some storms are possible.
To view radars - click here
Below to near normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.To view radars - click here
Below to near normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph - gusty winds near thunderstorms
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50" but some thunderstorms could produce heavy rainfall in localized areas
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Sunday night: Partly cloudy - a stray shower or thunderstorm possible.
Near normal to above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.Near normal to above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Monday: Mostly cloudy with widespread showers and thunderstorms - some storms could be on the heavy/severe side. To view radars - click here
Watches and warnings - click here
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 85 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Watches and warnings - click here
Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph - gusty winds near storms - winds becoming westerly late with gusts above 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50" but some thunderstorms could produce heavy rainfall in localized areas- rainfall totals of 1-2" will be possible in a few select areas
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday night: Partly cloudy with a chance showers and thunderstorm. Locally heavy rain if you are caught underneath a thunderstorm. Lightning, as well. To view radars - click here
Near normal temperatures.
Near normal temperatures.
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.
Wind: Westerly winds of 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50" but some thunderstorms could produce torrential rainfall in localized areas
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Westerly winds of 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50" but some thunderstorms could produce torrential rainfall in localized areas
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies A chance for scattered thunderstorms. Better chances may be eastern and southern areas.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 85 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph - gusty winds near storms - winds turning more westerly late in the day
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: Scattered 0.25"-0.50"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Tuesday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal to above normal temperatures
Near normal to above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wednesday: Partly sunny skies - pleasant.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 84 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Torrential downpours are possible on Sunday into Tuesday in a few spots - some areas could pick up a quick 1" or more in a short amount of time. PWAT values are extremely high - that means there will be plenty of moisture available. Again - not everyone will experience this - but some areas likely will.
I would not cancel any plans - I would simply keep in mind that some thunderstorms are possible in the area. Precipitation may hold off until afternoon and may be quite scattered in nature
Lightning is a concern - gusty winds near thunderstorms, as well.
To view radars - click here
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If you have any outdoor activities then monitor radars. Thunderstorms will be possible Sunday into Tuesday - some storms could produce locally heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning.
To view radars - click here
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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Lowered rain chances.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Saturday afternoon - No severe weather
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A very small chance for a scattered storm moving in from the south
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Saturday afternoon - No severe weather
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A very small chance for a scattered storm moving in from the south
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Sunday: A small chance for a severe thunderstorm. Gusty wind would be the main concern
Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning. Scattered in nature - I would not cancel any plans - I would simply check radar
.Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning. Scattered in nature - I would not cancel any plans - I would simply check radar
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - a few thunderstorms are possible
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Monday: A chance for a severe thunderstorm. Gusty wind and hail would be the main concern
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning.
Monday night : A small chance for a severe thunderstorm. Gusty wind would be the main concern
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning.
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - southeastern counties.
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Sunday night - No
Monday - Yes - A chance for a severe weather watch
Monday night - Perhaps a watch early for some counties in the region
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning.
Monday night : A small chance for a severe thunderstorm. Gusty wind would be the main concern
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms are possible with locally heavy rain and lightning.
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - southeastern counties.
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Sunday night - No
Monday - Yes - A chance for a severe weather watch
Monday night - Perhaps a watch early for some counties in the region
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
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HEADLINES: If we can ignore the fact that we are in drought then you have be enjoying the wonderful weather conditions across our region. The last few days have brought a lot of sunshine and mild temperatures - low humidity. Not bad for June!
The weather is a changin - as they say! Warm and moist air is already streaming northward from the Gulf of Mexico. This warm and moist air will lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday into Tuesday.
I would not cancel any plans on Sunday - I would simply keep in mind that some thunderstorms are possible in the area. Precipitation may be quite scattered in nature -
The air mass will be extremely moist with high PWAT values - that just means there will be a ton of juice in the air. Any thunderstorms that develop could produce heavy rainfall totals in a short amount of time. Lightning will be a concern for any outdoor activities. The chance for severe weather is low - not zero - but low. Gusty winds could occur with a few thunderstorm down drafts. Hail is also possible in a few counties.
The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be on Sunday into Sunday night then again on Monday afternoon/night.
If you have any outdoor activities then perhaps monitor radar - thunderstorms will be slow movers, as well.
Keep in mind - once again - that not everyone will experience rain or heavy rain/thunderstorms. The nature of this type of atmosphere is that the storms will be scattered. Feast or famine? Seems to have been the case over the last few months.
We will dry out on Tuesday night into Thursday - pleasant temperatures will follow the passage of a cold front on Tuesday. No severe or extreme heat is in the current forecast (some good news I suppose).
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HEADLINES: If we can ignore the fact that we are in drought then you have be enjoying the wonderful weather conditions across our region. The last few days have brought a lot of sunshine and mild temperatures - low humidity. Not bad for June!
The weather is a changin - as they say! Warm and moist air is already streaming northward from the Gulf of Mexico. This warm and moist air will lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday into Tuesday.
I would not cancel any plans on Sunday - I would simply keep in mind that some thunderstorms are possible in the area. Precipitation may be quite scattered in nature -
The air mass will be extremely moist with high PWAT values - that just means there will be a ton of juice in the air. Any thunderstorms that develop could produce heavy rainfall totals in a short amount of time. Lightning will be a concern for any outdoor activities. The chance for severe weather is low - not zero - but low. Gusty winds could occur with a few thunderstorm down drafts. Hail is also possible in a few counties.
The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be on Sunday into Sunday night then again on Monday afternoon/night.
If you have any outdoor activities then perhaps monitor radar - thunderstorms will be slow movers, as well.
We will dry out on Tuesday night into Thursday - pleasant temperatures will follow the passage of a cold front on Tuesday. No severe or extreme heat is in the current forecast (some good news I suppose).
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 120
hours (5 days). This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall forecast - this takes us through Wednesday night - when the rain should end. Remember that thunderstorms can quickly drop 1-2" of rain in isolated areas. This rainfall map is a generalization forecast - covering the region. Hopefully we all pick up at least a little bit of rain on Sunday into Tuesday night.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall forecast - this takes us through Wednesday night - when the rain should end. Remember that thunderstorms can quickly drop 1-2" of rain in isolated areas. This rainfall map is a generalization forecast - covering the region. Hopefully we all pick up at least a little bit of rain on Sunday into Tuesday night.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Nothing major to discuss. The drought will continue to be the main story in our local region. Not a good situation for farmers who keep missing the scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Feast or famine - or so it would seem.
Here are the latest 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks
Feast or famine - or so it would seem.
Here are the latest 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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