Monday through Friday update
I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will come in and update the forecast as needed. I will also note an update at the very top of the blog update.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Wind: Northerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Monday: A very small chance for a thunderstorm in the morning - then becoming mostly sunny skies and hot - windy at times - drought conditions.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Northerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Monday night: Mostly clear and not as warm.
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant temperatures. Drought conditions.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday: Partly cloudy skies - hot - drought conditions.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 90s - pockets of 100-105 degrees likely | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.
Wind: Easterly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s to lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant temperatures. Drought conditions.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Tuesday night: Clear skies and pleasant temperatures.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny - hot - drought conditions.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 90-95 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday night: Mostly clear - starry skies - warmer
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday: Mostly sunny - uncomfortably hot - drought conditions.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 95-100 degrees pockets of 100 to 105 degrees likely | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Thursday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday: Partly cloudy skies - hot - drought conditions.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 90s - pockets of 100-105 degrees likely | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.
Wind: Easterly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Hot temperatures will be cause for concern on Thursday into the weekend - would not be surprised to see record or near record high temperatures above 100 degrees in some counties. Use caution.
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Basic heat precautions.
No wild card in this update - historic drought will continue this week.
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No major changes in the forecast
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
*** If the storm chances are less than 10% then I will put no on the below ***
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
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HEADLINES: I have very little in the way of good news. It will be pleasant Monday night into Tuesday night - cooler temperatures. Highs on Tuesday will only be in the 80s. Not bad.
Temperatures will start to warm up on Wednesday into next weekend. I would not be surprised to see some areas reach 100=105 degrees on both Thursday and Friday. There is very little in the way of rain chances - if any at all.
Humidity levels should remain low most of the week - this will help it feel less muggy. The downside of that is that the moisture from your body will evaporate quickly. Don't forget you can overheat in these type of conditions.
Heat index values will not be much greater than actual surface temperatures. This means that high temperatures and heat index values by Thursday into this weekend will likely be in the 95 to 105 degree range.
Don't forget your outdoor pets - change the water often and make sure they have some way to shade themselves.
Drought conditions will intensify this week.
Here are the high temperature forecasts for this week - you can see the cool down - then you can see the WARM up.
Let's take a look at the departures from normal maps - how much ABOVE or BELOW normal will we be this week? Well - you can see that we start off not too bad but then everything goes down hill pretty fast.
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HEADLINES: I have very little in the way of good news. It will be pleasant Monday night into Tuesday night - cooler temperatures. Highs on Tuesday will only be in the 80s. Not bad.
Temperatures will start to warm up on Wednesday into next weekend. I would not be surprised to see some areas reach 100=105 degrees on both Thursday and Friday. There is very little in the way of rain chances - if any at all.
Humidity levels should remain low most of the week - this will help it feel less muggy. The downside of that is that the moisture from your body will evaporate quickly. Don't forget you can overheat in these type of conditions.
Heat index values will not be much greater than actual surface temperatures. This means that high temperatures and heat index values by Thursday into this weekend will likely be in the 95 to 105 degree range.
Don't forget your outdoor pets - change the water often and make sure they have some way to shade themselves.
Drought conditions will intensify this week.
Here are the high temperature forecasts for this week - you can see the cool down - then you can see the WARM up.
We have a TON of new weather maps on
the Weather
Observatory
web-site - these include
temperatures, wind speed,
dew points, heat
index,
barometric
pressure, predicted
rainfall,
climate forecast, medium
and long
range maps,
forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 120
hours (5 days). This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Drought conditions will continue to intensify this week and next week.
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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