Tuesday through Friday update
I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will come in and update the forecast as needed. I will also note an update at the very top of the blog update.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Wind: Southeast winds at 10-20 mph and gusty
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wednesday: Partly sunny - hot.
Wind: South at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and hot.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 10-20 mph and gusty
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Tuesday night: Mostly clear and warm
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wednesday: Partly sunny - hot.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.Wind: South at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wednesday night: Mostly clear skies - warm.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s to lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Thursday: Partly sunny and hot
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 94 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Thursday night: Mostly clear and mild.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - `10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - `10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Friday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for a thunderstorm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 94 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Unlikely
. Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Unlikely
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Wednesday night: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Thursday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Wednesday night: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Thursday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
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HEADLINES: I wish I had better news for everyone. But - I don't. The drought is going to continue to intensify this week with very little chance for significant rainfall. Temperatures through the week will be in the 90s.
Gusty winds will continue on Tuesday - humidity levels will be fairly low. Local officials are asking people to avoid burning brush.
Winds on Tuesday will be in the 10-20 mph range with some gusts above 20 mph. If you are going to be out boating then keep this in mind.
UV levels will also be high this week.
A front will approach the region on Friday - this could spark a few showers and storms. The chance, at least at this time, is low. I will update the forecast through the week.
The best hope we have for this drought to be broken is likely going to be a tropical system to come up out of the Gulf of Mexico. This would provide beneficial rains.
Here are the high temperature maps for the upcoming week
Drought map above - a LARGE chunk of the United States is experiencing drought conditions. What a difference a year makes.
Here are some of the river stage forecasts for this week - Paducah first and Metropolis second
The above image tells the story for this upcoming week - I did include a chance (in my forecast) for a few storms on Friday. We will see how that goes. I will update through the week if need be.
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HEADLINES: I wish I had better news for everyone. But - I don't. The drought is going to continue to intensify this week with very little chance for significant rainfall. Temperatures through the week will be in the 90s.
Gusty winds will continue on Tuesday - humidity levels will be fairly low. Local officials are asking people to avoid burning brush.
Winds on Tuesday will be in the 10-20 mph range with some gusts above 20 mph. If you are going to be out boating then keep this in mind.
UV levels will also be high this week.
A front will approach the region on Friday - this could spark a few showers and storms. The chance, at least at this time, is low. I will update the forecast through the week.
The best hope we have for this drought to be broken is likely going to be a tropical system to come up out of the Gulf of Mexico. This would provide beneficial rains.
Here are the high temperature maps for the upcoming week
Here are some of the river stage forecasts for this week - Paducah first and Metropolis second
We have a TON of new weather maps on
the Weather
Observatory
web-site - these include
temperatures, wind speed,
dew points, heat
index,
barometric
pressure, predicted
rainfall,
climate forecast, medium
and long
range maps,
forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 120
hours (5 days). This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction - not promising
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction - not promising
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Date Range: June 24th-29th
Event: Watching the tropics
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: August 4th-9th
Event: Trough in the central United States - showers and thunderstorms in the central U.S. - should bring a front into our region, as well. Chance for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Date Range: June 24th-29th
Event: Watching the tropics
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: August 4th-9th
Event: Trough in the central United States - showers and thunderstorms in the central U.S. - should bring a front into our region, as well. Chance for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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1. Drought conditions will continue to intensify this week.
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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