Tuesday through Thursday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night: Mostly clear and pleasant.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s and lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Calm
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant.
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 77-80 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday night: Mostly clear and pleasant.
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals:
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals:
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Thursday: Partly cloudy skies and pleasant.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 82 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.Wind: Northeast winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Thursday night: Mostly clear and pleasant.
Near normal temperatures
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Tuesday afternoon - No severe weather .
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday afternoon - No severe weather .
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
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HEADLINES: A serious drought continues to spread across our region and deepen. Many farmers are desperate for rain and rain, unfortunately, is not in the forecast for the coming near term forecast. Drought conditions will continue to worsen over the coming days.
Long range data shows some chance for rain towards the beginning of next week - however, at this point I am not confident in the models.
Not a good situation.
Here are some maps showing just how bad the drought has become.
The only good news is that temperatures this week won't be severe - they will be near normal through Thursday. Perhaps slightly above normal as we pull towards the end of the week.
On Monday there were several severe thunderstorms that moved through the area. Sadly three people were killed in a mobile home in southeast Missouri. The tornado was rated EF2 by the Paducah, KY NWS Office.
Severe hail storms hit other parts of the area. I experienced pea to half dollar size hail here at my place. There were reports of hail up to the size of baseballs in parts of southeast Missouri and up to Golf balls in southern Illinois. Round Knob, Illinois - just down the road from me - experienced hail up to the size of golf balls. There was significant crop damage.
Here are a few photos I took from Massac County, Illinois.
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HEADLINES: A serious drought continues to spread across our region and deepen. Many farmers are desperate for rain and rain, unfortunately, is not in the forecast for the coming near term forecast. Drought conditions will continue to worsen over the coming days.
Long range data shows some chance for rain towards the beginning of next week - however, at this point I am not confident in the models.
Not a good situation.
Here are some maps showing just how bad the drought has become.
The only good news is that temperatures this week won't be severe - they will be near normal through Thursday. Perhaps slightly above normal as we pull towards the end of the week.
On Monday there were several severe thunderstorms that moved through the area. Sadly three people were killed in a mobile home in southeast Missouri. The tornado was rated EF2 by the Paducah, KY NWS Office.
Severe hail storms hit other parts of the area. I experienced pea to half dollar size hail here at my place. There were reports of hail up to the size of baseballs in parts of southeast Missouri and up to Golf balls in southern Illinois. Round Knob, Illinois - just down the road from me - experienced hail up to the size of golf balls. There was significant crop damage.
Here are a few photos I took from Massac County, Illinois.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 48
hours. This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Nothing major to discuss.
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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