Lowered precip chances a little bit - there were between 10-20% on some days/nights but took them down to 10% - not a solid chance of rain in the forecast. No change in the drought forecast - conditions will intensify in the coming week. Bad news for everyone on that front.
The tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico (that should develop over the coming days) has little chance of impacting our region - I gave it a less than 5% chance.
I tried to capture temperatures as best as possible - can't rule out some temps being higher on Sat and Sunday than forecast - also northern areas will be cooler on Monday vs southern areas. You get the general idea from the temp forecasts below.
Dew points will be fairly low on Saturday and Sunday - Monday, as well - the air will not feel muggy - so that is some good news.
I will be away for a couple of days - next solid update will be on Sunday evening/night. I will reevaluate everything then.
Otherwise - enjoy the weekend. If anything chances you can always check the radars which are up and running.
Beau
June 22nd-25th 2012
Friday-Monday update
I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will come in and update the forecast as needed. I will also note an update at the very top of the blog update.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%-15% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but remember in thunderstorms that locally heavy rain can occur
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Friday: Partly cloudy in the morning - perhaps a few thunderstorms around with a cold front near the area. This would be most likely during the morning hours - even then the risk is small at any given location.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%-15% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but remember in thunderstorms that locally heavy rain can occur
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Friday night: Mostly clear and mild temperatures.
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Saturday: Mostly sunny with a few cumulus clouds - hot
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - less than 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Wind: Northerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
Precipitation probability - less than 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Monday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Saturday: Mostly sunny with a few cumulus clouds - hot
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - less than 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday night: Mostly clear skies - warm.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Sunday: Partly sunny and hot
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 95 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Sunday night: Partly cloudy and mild - small chance for a thunderstorm - more northeast counties if it occurs
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s to lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday: Partly cloudy skies - windy - an isolated thunderstorm possible
Near normal to above normal temperatures
Highs: around 88-92 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.Wind: Northerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
Precipitation probability - less than 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Monday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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No major concerns for severe weather.
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No
The wild card in the forecast will be whether or not a few storms might form Thursday night into Friday morning and then again Saturday night and Sunday - appears the chance for precipitation will be less than 20%.
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No major changes in the forecast
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Stray storm in the morning - otherwise no concerns.
Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Small chance for a stray storm
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Stray storm possible - this will depend on the movement of a thunderstorm complex expected to form to our northwest
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Stray storm possible - this will depend on the movement of a thunderstorm complex expected to form to our northwest
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A stray storm possible
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: The coming days will bring little hope for drought ending rains. We are in a pattern that favors a continuation of the extreme drought conditions. This is not encouraging news for farmers.
Right now the upcoming short term forecast will be made up of high temperatures in the 90s during the afternoon hours and overnight lows in the 60s.
Here are the Friday and Saturday high temperature forecasts - click images for full size view
A few chances of rain will tease the region. One of those chances will come tonight (Thursday night) and Friday morning (less than 20% chance at any given spot). Another chance will arrive late Saturday night into Sunday - again this will be less than a 20% chance at any one given spot.
A complex of storms will likely push into parts of northern Missouri on Friday night - some cloud debris is possible from this on Saturday morning/afternoon - but precipitation is unlikely. Less than a 10% chance.
I will be watching the Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development between Friday and Monday - the chances of this impacting our region are less than 5%
You can monitor the tropical updates, as well
Click here
and
Click here
A tropical system is what we need to help bring relief from this drought.
This is the latest drought forecast from NOAA - it shows a large area where drought will likely intensify.
Click image for a larger view
Let's take a look at how this drought compares to the drought of 1988 - one of the more intense droughts in our region.
Below are a series of maps that compare 1988 to 2012 - these are Palmer Drought Index maps. Basically the Palmer Drought Index maps measure the severity of drought.
Obviously we are in a serious drought situation for this early in the year. Without a tropical system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico or a series of thunderstorm complexes moving in from the northwest - there will be little hope for relief as we push into July and August.
Tropical systems have been known to break droughts over the southern United States and into the Ohio Valley. This is our greatest hope.
Comparison map source
Palmer May of 2012 Source
Silking Map
Some great information and maps concerning the 1988 drought
http://www.isws.illinois.edu/pubdoc/RR/ISWSRR-121.pdf
May of 1988
Now May of 2012
Another index
May of 1988
Now May of 2012
Another index
May of 1988
May of 2012
The June maps will be out at the end of the month. Needless to say you can see that this drought - in some ways - is worse than 1988. This is especially true for it being so early in the season. The June maps will reflect an even larger area covered in drought.
I have some updated maps (below) showing you just how far rainfall deficits are.
I don't think I need to explain each graphic - you can read at the top what they represent. You can also see the extent of just how much of the nation is dry. It is quite amazing.
The above images are how much rain is needed to end the drought.
So - this is the current state of the drought - bad situation - growing worse by the day - for the Ohio Valley. One year ago we were suffering from one of the largest floods of our lifetime - now we are dealing with severe drought. I have said it for years - we are in an extreme weather pattern. I have never seen anything quite like this. Other local meteorologists feel the same way and have expressed the same.
Some of the statistics show just how extreme this pattern is when compared to the latest 110 year period. To go from extreme floods to extreme drought in such a short amount of time is quite unusual. I looked back in the records - dating back to the early 1900s and I could not find two years in a row that were quite this extreme.
PDSI link - source
The image above shows you a drop from +3.37 down to -3.67 (as of MAY - now it is even worse). Incredible drop and perhaps one of the largest departures from positive to negative since the early 1900s.
Here are the rainfall deficits for this year - thus far
The latest 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks provide little hope for our region - again the wild card might be a system developing in the tropics and an outside chance of some thunderstorm complexes moving in from the northwest. It is difficult to break a drought cycle. Some people like to say that drought feeds drought.
Pulled the records for 1988 from Paducah, KY - in June these were some of the high temps - 22nd=100 degrees, 23rd 103 degrees, 24th=103 degrees (that was a record high), 25th=102 degrees, 26th=101 degrees. On June 11th we had a record low of 48 degrees. In July - the 8th=102 degrees (that was a record high), 9th=100 degrees, 15th=100 degrees. We had a record low of 59 degrees on the 22nd of July. In August we had the 15th=102 degrees, 16th=102 degrees, 17th=104 degrees (that was a record high), 18th=103 degrees. We had a record low of 47 on the 31st. We were also in the 40s on the 30th.
Precipitation in 1988 = January saw 3.50" (-0.17") (2012 we had 3.55") / February brought 5.15" (+1.76") (2012 we had 2.19") / March brought 4.60" (-0.36") (2012 we had 4.00") / April brought 2.13" (-2.44") (2012 we had 0.56") / May brought 3.14" (+1.51") (2012 we had 0.39") / June brought 0.41" (-4.04") (so far in 2012 0.90" has fallen) / July brought 3.08" (-0.61") August brought 1.05" (-2.17") September brought 3.49" (0.00) October brought 3.81" (+1.21") November brought 9.56" (+5.52") December brought 3.05" (-1.11") <---all for KPAH
Note the dates are at the top of each image.
The Paducah, KY National Weather Service Office has updated their statement on this drought: Link - click here
.
HEADLINES: The coming days will bring little hope for drought ending rains. We are in a pattern that favors a continuation of the extreme drought conditions. This is not encouraging news for farmers.
Right now the upcoming short term forecast will be made up of high temperatures in the 90s during the afternoon hours and overnight lows in the 60s.
Here are the Friday and Saturday high temperature forecasts - click images for full size view
A few chances of rain will tease the region. One of those chances will come tonight (Thursday night) and Friday morning (less than 20% chance at any given spot). Another chance will arrive late Saturday night into Sunday - again this will be less than a 20% chance at any one given spot.
A complex of storms will likely push into parts of northern Missouri on Friday night - some cloud debris is possible from this on Saturday morning/afternoon - but precipitation is unlikely. Less than a 10% chance.
I will be watching the Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development between Friday and Monday - the chances of this impacting our region are less than 5%
You can monitor the tropical updates, as well
Click here
and
Click here
A tropical system is what we need to help bring relief from this drought.
This is the latest drought forecast from NOAA - it shows a large area where drought will likely intensify.
Click image for a larger view
Let's take a look at how this drought compares to the drought of 1988 - one of the more intense droughts in our region.
Below are a series of maps that compare 1988 to 2012 - these are Palmer Drought Index maps. Basically the Palmer Drought Index maps measure the severity of drought.
Obviously we are in a serious drought situation for this early in the year. Without a tropical system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico or a series of thunderstorm complexes moving in from the northwest - there will be little hope for relief as we push into July and August.
Tropical systems have been known to break droughts over the southern United States and into the Ohio Valley. This is our greatest hope.
Comparison map source
Palmer May of 2012 Source
Silking Map
Some great information and maps concerning the 1988 drought
http://www.isws.illinois.edu/pubdoc/RR/ISWSRR-121.pdf
May of 1988
Now May of 2012
Another index
May of 1988
Another index
May of 1988
May of 2012
I have some updated maps (below) showing you just how far rainfall deficits are.
I don't think I need to explain each graphic - you can read at the top what they represent. You can also see the extent of just how much of the nation is dry. It is quite amazing.
So - this is the current state of the drought - bad situation - growing worse by the day - for the Ohio Valley. One year ago we were suffering from one of the largest floods of our lifetime - now we are dealing with severe drought. I have said it for years - we are in an extreme weather pattern. I have never seen anything quite like this. Other local meteorologists feel the same way and have expressed the same.
Some of the statistics show just how extreme this pattern is when compared to the latest 110 year period. To go from extreme floods to extreme drought in such a short amount of time is quite unusual. I looked back in the records - dating back to the early 1900s and I could not find two years in a row that were quite this extreme.
PDSI link - source
The image above shows you a drop from +3.37 down to -3.67 (as of MAY - now it is even worse). Incredible drop and perhaps one of the largest departures from positive to negative since the early 1900s.
Here are the rainfall deficits for this year - thus far
The latest 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks provide little hope for our region - again the wild card might be a system developing in the tropics and an outside chance of some thunderstorm complexes moving in from the northwest. It is difficult to break a drought cycle. Some people like to say that drought feeds drought.
Pulled the records for 1988 from Paducah, KY - in June these were some of the high temps - 22nd=100 degrees, 23rd 103 degrees, 24th=103 degrees (that was a record high), 25th=102 degrees, 26th=101 degrees. On June 11th we had a record low of 48 degrees. In July - the 8th=102 degrees (that was a record high), 9th=100 degrees, 15th=100 degrees. We had a record low of 59 degrees on the 22nd of July. In August we had the 15th=102 degrees, 16th=102 degrees, 17th=104 degrees (that was a record high), 18th=103 degrees. We had a record low of 47 on the 31st. We were also in the 40s on the 30th.
Precipitation in 1988 = January saw 3.50" (-0.17") (2012 we had 3.55") / February brought 5.15" (+1.76") (2012 we had 2.19") / March brought 4.60" (-0.36") (2012 we had 4.00") / April brought 2.13" (-2.44") (2012 we had 0.56") / May brought 3.14" (+1.51") (2012 we had 0.39") / June brought 0.41" (-4.04") (so far in 2012 0.90" has fallen) / July brought 3.08" (-0.61") August brought 1.05" (-2.17") September brought 3.49" (0.00) October brought 3.81" (+1.21") November brought 9.56" (+5.52") December brought 3.05" (-1.11") <---all for KPAH
Note the dates are at the top of each image.
The Paducah, KY National Weather Service Office has updated their statement on this drought: Link - click here
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 951 AM CDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...SEVERE DROUGHT BECOMES EXTREME DROUGHT THIS WEEK... SYNOPSIS... MOST OF THE AREA ENCOMPASSED BY SEVERE DROUGHT LAST WEEK WAS UPGRADED TO EXTREME DROUGHT. THIS AREA LIES GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CADIZ TO MADISONVILLE KENTUCKY...TO EVANSVILLE AND PETERSBURG INDIANA WEST TO MOUNT CARMEL ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST TO MURPHYSBORO ILLINOIS AND GREENVILLE MISSOURI. SEVERE DROUGHT COVERS MOST OF THE REST OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WEST KENTUCKY. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS. SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. EIGHTY TO 90 PERCENT OF THE REGION'S TOPSOIL IS REPORTED AS SHORT OR VERY SHORT. SIXTY TO 80 PERCENT OF THE SUBSOIL IS REPORTED AS SHORT OR VERY SHORT. AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS. MANY CROPS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW STRESS ACROSS THE REGION. A MAJORITY OF THE CORN AND SOYBEANS ARE LISTED ONLY AS FAIR. INCREASING AMOUNTS OF LIVESTOCK AND FIELDS ARE SHOWING STRESS. THE PERCENTAGE OF PASTURES IN THE AREA RATED AS POOR AND VERY POOR IS GROWING. PONDS ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY ARE DRY OR DRYING QUICKLY. FIRE DANGER IMPACTS. FIRE DANGER IS INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION. AS OF JUNE 20...BURN BANS HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: IN KENTUCKY...HENDERSON. IN INDIANA...GIBSON...PIKE...VANDERBURGH...WARRICK AND SPENCER. DUE TO INCREASINGLY DRY VEGETATIVE CONDITIONS...MORE COUNTIES MAY BEGIN TO POST BURN BANS THAT PROHIBIT ANY OPEN BURNING. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONSULT LOCAL AUTHORITIES BEFORE BURNING. CLIMATE SUMMARY... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND BROUGHT LITTLE RELIEF TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS. AT PADUCAH KENTUCKY...0.90 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN JUNE...THIS IS 1.78 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MONTH. SINCE JANUARY 1...11.59 INCHES HAS FALLEN...12.31 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. AT EVANSVILLE INDIANA...0.15 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN JUNE...THIS IS 2.51 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. SINCE JANUARY 1...11.53 INCHES HAS FALLEN...11.37 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. THE REGION WILL SEE A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM THE HEAT ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN TAKE CONTROL HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY AND INCREASINGLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEHIND A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR JUNE 28 THROUGH JULY 4...CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. DURING THIS TIME...NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE 77 TO 79 DEGREES. NORMAL TOTAL PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD IS A LITTLE UNDER ONE INCH. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... AS OF JUNE 20...STREAMFLOWS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO...LOWER WABASH...TENNESSEE AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL. KENTUCKY AND BARKLEY LAKES...IN WEST KENTUCKY...CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. CURRENT POOL LEVELS ARE ABOUT 1 1/2 FEET BELOW THE NORMAL SUMMER POOL OF 359 FEET.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...COOPERATIVE NETWORK STATIONS...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8250 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3520 WEST PADUCAH KY 42086 PHONE: 270-744-6440 W-PAH.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV $$ LAMM
We have a TON of new weather maps on
the Weather
Observatory
web-site - these include
temperatures, wind speed,
dew points, heat
index,
barometric
pressure, predicted
rainfall,
climate forecast, medium
and long
range maps,
forecasts and more! Click here
.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 120
hours (5 days). This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction - not promising
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
This is the 5 day rainfall prediction - not promising
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
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1. Drought conditions will continue to intensify this week and next week.
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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