January 14th-16th: Keeping a close eye on a few systems

January 14th-16th, 2013

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.



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Several items of interest to monitor.  A weak system may spread a little light snow into our southern counties on Monday night.  More on Tuesday afternoon and evening.  A bigger system is possible around Wednesday night into Thursday - that system, though, should miss us to the south and east.  Low confidence on the mid-week system.

Spot forecast for your location -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast.

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.





This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western  Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES: The Paducah, KY NWS radar is back up and working!  

Lot of rain fell over our region over the last 2-3 days.  Anywhere from 2"-6" was reported across the region.  There were some flooding problems and at least one tornado in west Kentucky.   You can read more about the tornado on this link - Tornado EF 2 Strikes Western Kentucky

Colder weather has arrived and it may stick around for a few weeks.  Not saying it will be cold all of the time.  We may see a few shots of warmer air as the boundary between the cold and warm remains near our region.

Monday morning will bring some slick spots on area roadways.  Black ice is what we call this.  Moisture that is left over from the recent rains or wintry mix can refreeze at night.  Early morning commuters should use caution and care.

As far as snow or precipitation goes - we will have a weak system on Monday night that might produce some light snow or snow showers.  The area of concern would probably be over Kentucky and Tennessee.  Can't rule out light accumulation.  

Another system on Tuesday afternoon/night may produce a light mixture of freezing rain, sleet, and snow.

A system is forecast to move into the Mississippi Valley on Wednesday night and Thursday.  This one will be tricky to forecast.  Appears more to our south and east than our region.  I will monitor

I will keep the Facebook page updated. - here http://www.facebook.com/beaudodsonweather     




Chance for light snow on Monday night over our southern counties.  Chance for a light mixture on Tuesday evening.


A chance for precipitation on Wednesday night and Thursday.  Confidence is low on the mid-week system.  Stay tuned. 
 

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.


Some black ice is likely on Monday morning.  Black ice is simply leftover moisture that has frozen on roadways.




Wild card will be temperatures on Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon.  A wintry mix will be possible in our area as temperatures fall.

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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here

We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
 
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  Some light snow is possible Monday night.  Light accumulation possible.  This would mainly be over our southern and southeast counties.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No.

Tuesday:  Severe weather is not anticipated. Some remaining snow showers, sleet, and freezing rain possible over our southeast counties.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

Wednesday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here


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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 

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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






Light wintry mix is possible Tuesday afternoon and night over portions of western KY and western TN - light snow and sleet would be the most likely form of precipitation.  

I am watching a storm system for Wednesday night through Thursday night.  Low confidence on this event.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here

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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.


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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.

We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  Here is a video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.

Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 

 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image



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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
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1.  Cold shots of air for the next 2 weeks.  We may see some of the coldest air of the winter season.  

Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 

Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here

If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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