I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will update the forecast as needed. Check back for updated graphics, as well.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Monday: Partly sunny
Wind: North/Northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: North/Northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday night: Mostly clear sky conditions.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Thursday night: Mostly clear skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Wind: Southerly at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Friday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Wind: North/Northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Monday night: Mostly clear sky conditions
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.Wind: North/Northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0.00"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies - small chance for a shower.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the 82-88 degree range | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Tuesday night: Mostly clear skies
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the 58-62 degree range | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: North winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: North winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: mostly in the lower to middle 90s | Normal
highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Wednesday night: Mostly clear sky conditions.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: mostly in the lower 90s | Normal
highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Thursday night: Mostly clear skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Friday: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Highs: mostly in the lower 90s | Normal
highs for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Friday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
No major concerns
I am posting information about the drought on the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
Action will not need to be taken
No major wild cards in this forecast package.
.
.
.
Tweaked temperatures a little bit
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Thursday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Monday night - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Monday night - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: A bit of a snoozer of a week for forecasters. Northwest flow will dominate - that means near normal to below normal temperatures. Quite a bit of sun each day with pleasant evenings. No significant rain in the forecast.
You can see on the 500 mb wind map (looking up high in the atmosphere) that we are in NW flow - see how the jet dives down into our region from the Northern Plains? That is what we call NW flow. Now take a look at the second map - that is for the end of the week. See how the flow flattens out a bit. The NW flow subsides.
Images courtesy of wright-weather.com - click image for real size view (NAM model)
Will monitor a cold front for next weekend or the beginning of the following week - perhaps some shower and thunderstorm chances.
The big story in our region will continue to be drought conditions. Drought conditions will intensify this week.
The above maps give you an idea of the scope of this historic drought event. It will likely take a change of seasons or a tropical storm/hurricane moving into the Gulf of Mexico to break or put a dent into our drought conditions.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
HEADLINES: A bit of a snoozer of a week for forecasters. Northwest flow will dominate - that means near normal to below normal temperatures. Quite a bit of sun each day with pleasant evenings. No significant rain in the forecast.
You can see on the 500 mb wind map (looking up high in the atmosphere) that we are in NW flow - see how the jet dives down into our region from the Northern Plains? That is what we call NW flow. Now take a look at the second map - that is for the end of the week. See how the flow flattens out a bit. The NW flow subsides.
Images courtesy of wright-weather.com - click image for real size view (NAM model)
The big story in our region will continue to be drought conditions. Drought conditions will intensify this week.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 48
hours. This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Remember that thunderstorms often produce locally heavy rainfall amounts. The map below gives you a general idea of precipitation
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Remember that thunderstorms often produce locally heavy rainfall amounts. The map below gives you a general idea of precipitation
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---
.
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
-----------------------------
.
1. Will monitor a cold front for next weekend into the following week.
Here is the latest six to ten day temperature and precipitation outlook
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Here is the latest six to ten day temperature and precipitation outlook
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment