August 1st through 4th - 2012
Wednesday through Saturday updateFor more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky..
Wednesday: Hot - partly sunny skies. Isolated thunderstorm possible. Some storms could be severe.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the middle to upper 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday night: Mostly clear and warm- a few evening thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: North winds turning to the southeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday: Warm with an scattered heavy thunderstorms - isolated severe storms possible
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the 94-96 range | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.50" but locally higher in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday night: A few clouds - warm - muggy - a chance for thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday: Warm with scattered thunderstorms - a few storms could be on the heavy side
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday night: Partly cloudy and warm
Lows: in the middle to upper 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday: Warm with a chance for some scattered thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Highs: mostly in the lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Saturday night: Warm with a few thunderstorms possible
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: South winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Sunday: Warm and humid - a chance for a few thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 80s to lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Sunday night: A few clouds - warm and muggy - a chance for a thunderstorm
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in theupper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals:0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
Wednesday: Hot - partly sunny skies. Isolated thunderstorm possible. Some storms could be severe.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the middle to upper 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday night: Mostly clear and warm- a few evening thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: North winds turning to the southeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday: Warm with an scattered heavy thunderstorms - isolated severe storms possible
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the 94-96 range | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.50" but locally higher in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Thursday night: A few clouds - warm - muggy - a chance for thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday: Warm with scattered thunderstorms - a few storms could be on the heavy side
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the lower to middle 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday night: Partly cloudy and warm
Lows: in the middle to upper 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday: Warm with a chance for some scattered thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Highs: mostly in the lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Saturday night: Warm with a few thunderstorms possible
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: South winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Sunday: Warm and humid - a chance for a few thunderstorms
Above normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 80s to lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Sunday night: A few clouds - warm and muggy - a chance for a thunderstorm
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in theupper 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals:0.25" - but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
A few thunderstorms over the coming days - the most widespread precipitation will likely be Thursday night or Friday. Any thunderstorms that form in this atmosphere can produce locally heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty winds, and even hail. The tornado threat is very low this time of the year - typically thunderstorms are more likely to produce down burst winds or straight line winds.
I am posting information about the drought on the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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If you have outdoor events over the coming days into the weekend then check radars from time to time - also watch for updates on my Facebook page. I try to update it more frequently. I am out of town and will update the blog from time to time, as well.
No wild card in this update
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No major chances - updated precipitation chances and temperatures. Tweaked winds a little bit.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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Wednesday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. Isolated severe reports possible. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Isolated
Wednesday night : Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Isolated
Thursday: A few severe storms again possible. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Thursday night: Isolated severe storms possible. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Friday: A few severe storms will be possible. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Friday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Saturday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice..
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Saturday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Wednesday - Likely for eastern counties and southeastern counties
Wednesday night - No
Thursday -Small chance for a watch
Thursday night - Small chance for a watch
Friday -Small chance for a watch
Friday night - Unlikely
Saturday -No
Saturday night - No
Sunday - No
Sunday night - No
Monday - No
Monday night - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Isolated
Wednesday night : Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Isolated
Thursday: A few severe storms again possible. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Thursday night: Isolated severe storms possible. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Friday: A few severe storms will be possible. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Friday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Saturday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice..
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Saturday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Wednesday - Likely for eastern counties and southeastern counties
Wednesday night - No
Thursday -Small chance for a watch
Thursday night - Small chance for a watch
Friday -Small chance for a watch
Friday night - Unlikely
Saturday -No
Saturday night - No
Sunday - No
Sunday night - No
Monday - No
Monday night - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
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HEADLINES: I am on vacation this week - I did update the above information. I will post more graphics starting this weekend into next week - when I return home.
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HEADLINES: I am on vacation this week - I did update the above information. I will post more graphics starting this weekend into next week - when I return home.
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