February 6, 2013: Dry today - chance showers Thursday/Thursday night

February 6, 2013

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Good Wednesday morning everyone!  I have made a few changes to the blog.  I am going to try place the weather tracking tools at the bottom three quarters of the page.  The top quarter of the page will be my current thoughts and comments concerning what I am seeing on the models and the latest data.

Today will be dry and high temperatures will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s.  There will be some morning fog - use care.

High temperatures - below



The next chance of showers will arrive on Thursday afternoon or Thursday night.  Rainfall totals should be less than 0.30".  There will be a small chance for a rumble of thunder on Thursday night.  No severe weather.

High temperatures on Thursday will be near 60 degrees!  This will be ahead of a cold front.

Friday morning we will see showers push to our east.  Highs on Friday will be a bit cooler - in the 40s.

The next significant weather event will be on Sunday into Monday morning.  Showers and thunderstorms should move into the area from west to east.

The wind fields aloft look strong with this next system - that might mean a few severe thunderstorms.  Dew points look to be in the 50s with this next system.  Typically we look for upper 50s or lower 60 dew points for severe thunderstorms.

I will continue to monitor this system for the possibility of a few heavy thunderstorms.

Rainfall with the Sunday/Monday system should be in the 0.40"-0.80" range.   

Graphic forecast

  
Spot NWS forecast for your location (keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page) -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast from the National Weather Service.





I am not tracking any winter storms.  Sorry snow fans!

Perhaps we can keep our eye on next week?  Appears at least a better chance for snow and colder temperatures.  I believe we will see snow over the next two weeks (after this week).  The pattern favors snow. 


 


The longer range is starting to show some colder shots of air after this week.  A couple of storm systems may track south of our region.  This might mean snow for some areas of the south-lands and southeast United States.  A bit early to make a call on storm tracks.  Stay tuned!


For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.






No major concerns - morning fog.


No major concerns.  Morning fog - use care.



No wild card in today's forecast.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
  
WednesdaySevere weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

Tonight:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No

Tomorrow:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  A rumble of thunder possible on Thursday night

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here



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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No 
Friday - No
Saturday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 







We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.

We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.


Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---

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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  Here is a video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU


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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.

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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here

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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.

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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.

Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 

 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image



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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
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Keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page.

 Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here

We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join---


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.




Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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