February 20, 2013: Cold today - chance precip Thursday

February 20, 2013

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Good Wednesday, everyone. 


It will be colder today.  The good news is that it will be dry.  This is ahead of our next storm system that will arrive on Thursday.

A storm system will pull out of the Central United States over the next 24-48 hours.  This system will spread a large band of heavy snow and ice across portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois.  Thankfully the heaviest part of the storm will miss our region.

We can expect some light wintry mix to develop on Thursday morning - mainly over southeast Missouri.  This may slip into parts of southern Illinois and western Kentucky.  This first band of precipitation would be on the light side.

The main action won't arrive until Thursday afternoon.  By then temperatures will have warmed a few degrees.  This will help keep the amount of frozen precipitation to a minimum over far southern Illinois and far southeast Missouri - and western Kentucky.

The best chance for there to be travel problems would be from near Poplar Bluff, MO torwards Cape Girardeau, MO and then towards Route 13 in southern Illinois.  North of that line could have some accumulation of sleet and freezing rain - snow.

Monitor updates - a few advisories may have to be issued if the NWS believes there will be enough precipitation for travel problems

Questions remain on this storm - the timing - temperature profiles.    

Friday will dry out - it will be cool into the weekend.  We will see a bit of a warm up by Sunday ahead of our next area of low pressure.  That one will bring rain and perhaps even thunderstorms.

Another system around next Thursday could bring snow.  Plenty of time to monitor updates on that particular system.

Winter is far from finished in our region.  Lot of cold air over the coming weeks.  I know some of you would like to experience spring.  

Spot NWS forecast for your location (keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page) -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast from the National Weather Service.





Watching for a wintry mix on Thursday - tough call on placement of the freezing line.  Some travel problems possible.  This would especially be true over Missouri and Illinois.



 


Pattern should be interesting for the U.S. over the coming weeks.  Lot of jet stream energy. 


For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.






Monitor updates on some wintry weather for Thursday



Monitor updated forecasts - especially over Missouri and Illinois.


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 Placement of the freezing line is the wild card.  How far north or south to place it will determine the type of precipitation that falls on Thursday.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
  
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

Tonight:  Severe weather is not anticipated. Light wintry mix possible late - esp over Missouri.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No

Tomorrow:  Severe weather is not anticipated. A wintry mix is likely across our region - this should change to all rain over far southeast Missouri, far southern Illinois, and western Kentucky.  The timing of the changeover will need to be monitored.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No.

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here



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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
 
Wednesday - No   
Thursday - No
Friday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 







We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.

We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.


Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---

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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  Here is a video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU


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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.

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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here

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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.

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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.

Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 

 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image



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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
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Keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page.

 Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here

We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join---


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.




Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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