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We had a few showers on Monday - rainfall totals were on the light side. Most areas did pick up at least enough to wet the sidewalks.
Today will bring dry conditions - Wednesday will also be dry.
High temperatures on Tuesday (below) will be near 50 degrees for most of our region both Today and on Wednesday. Thursday we should see temperatures rise well into the 50s.
Wednesday Highs
We will be tracking a new weather system for Thursday. Right now it appears a few showers will spread into the area by Thursday afternoon and evening. Rain should come to an end by Friday morning.
Here is the forecast weather map for Thursday - you can see the green area of precipitation (that will be moving towards our region).
The time stamp on this map would be Thursday afternoon around 2 pm - 4 pm. The precipitation should be moving towards the east through the afternoon hours and should spread into our local counties from west to east.
The blue line that says 32 would be the freezing line - well to our north over northern Illinois. So, I am not concerned about snow or ice from this next storm system. Stormvistawxmodels.com image.
The next storm system of note will arrive around Sunday/Monday. Rain and perhaps some thunderstorms will spread into our region from the southwest. The system may last a few days. There is the potential for some decent rainfall in our region from this event.
A bit soon to make a call on whether or not severe storms will be a concern. Still several days to monitor the track and intensity of this system.
Some of the latest data indicate the area of low pressure moving further south - that might help keep our area out of the severe weather threat zone. Monitoring and will update through the week.
Here is what the GFS is showing for Sunday - the colors represent precipitation. Click image for the full size view. Image is from www.wright-weather.com
Remember that an area of low pressure rotates counter-clockwise. If a low passes to our west or northwest then it pulls warm and moist air northward. Once it moves off to our east then it pulls colder air into our region. This is why it warms up ahead of a cold front in our region and cools down once the front has passed. Assuming the low passes off to our west and north.
If an area of low pressure passes to our south, during the winter months, then we start thinking about colder air in our region and snow or wintry precipitation (not always - but sometimes).
Numbers are still coming in from the severe weather outbreak last week. This outbreak will rank in the top three January outbreaks on record (number of tornadoes). It was an impressive event.
The blue dots on the image below represent wind damage reports. The red dots are tornado reports.
More information on the SPC page - click here
Click here
The National Weather Service Office in Paducah, KY is also posting information on the outbreak
Click here
Spot NWS forecast for your location (keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page) -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast from the National Weather Service.
I am not tracking any winter storms. Sorry snow fans!
Perhaps we can keep our eye on next week? Appears at least a better chance for snow and colder temperatures. I believe we will see snow over the next two weeks (after this week). The pattern favors snow. We shall see if it can produce.
Click image for the full size view - that is quite the storm wound up on the GFS model for next Wednesday. Fantasy land for models (meaning the models have little accuracy past a few days). But, we will keep an eye on it.
Image from www.wright-weather.com
The longer range is starting to show some colder shots of air after this week. A couple of storm systems may track south of our region. This might mean snow for some areas of the south-lands and southeast United States. A bit early to make a call on storm tracks. Stay tuned!
For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
No major concerns
No major concerns.
No wild card in today's forecast.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds
you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to
receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember
that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one
that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a
tornado.
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No
Tonight: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No
Tomorrow: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? Here is a video with more information
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and you can move around the United States
by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down
menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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Let's
check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region. This
map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Keep
in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS
forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook
page.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
We
have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site -
these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index,
barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and
long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT time
to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before
storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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