We had a lightning strike from the storm two days ago - slowly getting things back up and running. Have not updated the blog as often - our widespread rain event did not materialize as hoped. There have been pockets of heavy rain in the area. There will be on/off chances right on into next week. Best chances will be the eastern and southeastern counties - less as you go further and further west.
July 13th-16th 2012
Friday through Monday update
I am in summer mode - that means I try to update every other day or every 2-3 days. If the weather is active then I will come in and update the forecast as needed. I will also note an update at the very top of the blog update.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Wind: South 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 80s to lower 90s in areas with more sunshine | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: South 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Friday night: Partly cloudy - scattered showers and thunderstorms possible
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.25 thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday: Partly sunny - a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms
Wind: South at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25 thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: South winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday night: Partly cloudy skies - a few thunderstorms possible - warm - humid.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southeast/easterly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s to lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.25 thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday: Partly sunny - a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms
Near normal to below temperatures
Highs: in the upper 80s to lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.Wind: South at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25 thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Saturday night: Partly cloudy - a chance for a few thunderstorms
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 60s to lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday: Partly sunny skies - warm - a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the 86-93 degree range | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: South winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday night: Partly cloudy skies - a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms
Lows: in the upper 60s to lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: South winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: South winds of 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday: Partly sunny - a few thunderstorms possible
Highs: mostly in the upper 80s to lower 90s | Normal
highs for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Monday night: Partly cloudy skies - a few thunderstorms possible - warm - humid.
Near normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees.
Wind: Southeast/easterly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" thunderstorms can and often do produce heavier amounts.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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No major concerns - continued chances for scattered thunderstorms over the coming days.
I am posting information about the drought on the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Most likely no. If a thunderstorm forms then there will of course be a chance for brief heavy rain and lightning. A gust of wind is also possible.
No wild card in this update
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Tweaked rainfall chances
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
Friday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Friday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes a few storms scattered around the area
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Saturday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?
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Sunday: Isolated severe storm over southeast Missouri. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Sunday night : Isolated severe storm possible over southeast Missouri. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Monday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes a few storms scattered around the area
Monday night: Widespread evere weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes a few storms possible.
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Sunday night : Isolated severe storm possible over southeast Missouri. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Monday: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes a few storms scattered around the area
Monday night: Widespread evere weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes a few storms possible.
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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