September 3rd-4th: Say goodbye to Isaac

September 3rd-4th

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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Monday:  Some morning fog possible - Cloudy with a chance for showers - drizzle. 
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the lower 80s  |  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 83 degrees.
Wind:  West winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 60%  | Rainfall totals:
scattered 0.25"-0.50"
Confidence in this forecast is very high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 
 
Monday night:  Cloudy with a chance for a shower or patches of drizzle - some fog possible
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 70s  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 61 degrees.
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph 

Precipitation probability - 40%
  | Rainfall totals: scattered 0.25" 
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday:  Patches of fog during the morning hours.  Rest of the day - partly sunny and warm for this time of the year
Above normal temperatures
Highs:  in the upper 80s to lower 90s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 83 degrees.
Wind: Westerly winds at 5 mph

Precipitation probability
- 0%  |  Rainfall totals:  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is very high
 
Tuesday night:  Increasing clouds - a small chance for a thunderstorm during the evening and then after midnight.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the 68-74 degree range  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 61 degrees.
Wind:  Southeast
winds of 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph
Precipitation probability
- 20%  |  Rainfall totals: isolated/scattered 0.10"-0.25" 
Confidence in this forecast is medium 

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:  Say goodbye to Isaac.  The tropical rainstorm brought plenty of rain to the region over the last few days.  Pockets of 5"-10" were reported over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  As of this writing - Sunday evening - I have picked up 4" here at the Weather Observatory in Massac County, Illinois. 


What is left of Isaac will continue to push off to the east and southeast on Monday night and Tuesday.  This will leave our region with some patchy fog on Monday night and Tuesday morning and quite a bit of sun by Tuesday afternoon.

A storm system will approach our region on Tuesday night and Wednesday.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible late Tuesday night and on Wednesday.

There isn't a whole lot of moisture to work with on Tuesday night or Wednesday - rainfall totals may be scattered and not overly impressive.  

A cold front will pass through the area on Wednesday - this will bring an end to the precipitation chances by Wednesday evening.  Temperatures won't be noticeably cooler behind the front.  

Severe weather is not expected with the front on Wednesday.  There is a chance for a few severe cells just a tad north of our area - say from central Illinois into Indiana.  If this does shift south then I will update as needed.  Lightning will be possible in our area. 

The next chance for rain will arrive on Friday/Saturday.  That system may be a little bit stronger and may produce a decent chance of rain in our local counties.  We will take every drop we can muster.



No major concerns through Tuesday




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No wild cards in this update
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No major changes in this update

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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 
 
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.

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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
  

Monday: 
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Monday: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

Monday night:  
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Monday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

Tuesday: 
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Tuesday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Tuesday night : 
Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Tuesday night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  A chance for a thunderstorm

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?


Monday - No
Tuesday - No

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here
 
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 120 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.





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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  


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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here

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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 

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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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1.  We will be watching another cold front on Friday and Saturday.  This front will bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Can't rule out a severe thunderstorm on Friday afternoon or evening - will need to monitor wind fields and instability.

Saturday will bring lingering showers and perhaps storms.

Sunday looks much cooler - pleasant - low humidity levels.  This would be behind the cold front! 



Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to
WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.




Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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