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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Monday: Mostly sunny - beautiful weather.
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Below normal temperatures
Highs: in the upper 70s and lower 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 83 degrees.Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 61 degrees.Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies - nice
Near normal temperatures
Highs: in the lower 80s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 83 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Tuesday night: Mostly clear - pleasant
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the 55-60 range | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 61 degrees.
Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: isolated/scattered 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday will be partly sunny and pleasant with highs in the 80s
Wednesday night - partly cloudy and nice - lows in the 60s
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
This
forecast
analysis covers far southern
Illinois, southeast
Missouri,
southwest Indiana,
western Kentucky, and
northwest
Tennessee
HEADLINES: Hopefully everyone has been able to clean up from the recent storm damage. Quite a bit of wind damage across portions of the region. Hardest hit was southeast Missouri into southern Illinois and then southwest Indiana. Widespread reports of down trees, power lines down, some structural damage to homes and businesses, and power outages.
Thankfully the severe weather is over for the near term. I do not have any severe weather or inclement weather in my forecast through Thursday.
Let's take a look at these wonderful high temperatures for the next few days. You have to love September weather!
Monday - Tuesday - Wednesday high temperatures.
The next system of interest should arrive Thursday night or Friday - this will bring another chance for rain and perhaps a rumble of thunder. I will update through the week.
I don't know if any of you were able to see the amazing starry sky on Saturday night? I took this picture in front of my house - you can see the Milky Way - lot of stars! Beautiful - fallish weather.
Click the image for a larger view
Let's take a look at the past weeks severe weather reports - you can view all the details by going to the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - here
Starting on September 5th and moving through the week - the blue dots are wind damage, green would be hail, and red would be a tornado report.
It was a busy week for us forecasters. A bit stressful at times, as well. A fairly impressive event, overall, for September. Just reminds all of us that severe weather can occur throughout the year - any month.
Let me zoom in on the two big events - September 5th (the surprise event) and then the well forecasted September 6th event.
You can see the orange dots - the wind damage path. This is where the bow echo moved on Thursday night. This caused quite a few reports of wind damage and funnel clouds.
Then below - the Friday night outbreak. Numerous reports of wind damage with that event. Far western Kentucky didn't get hit quite as hard. Southern Missouri into Illinois/Indiana had a lot of wind damage reports.
I have recorded 7" of rain here at the Weather Observatory since the beginning of September! Not bad in a drought year.
Let's take a look at the latest "precipitation needed to end the drought" map - you can tell that is not as bad as earlier in the summer.
Latest map
NOW let's compare the map above to one from August. Can you see the differences? Conditions have improved. The area of red has shrunk in size. This is improvement (BIG thanks to Hurricane Isaac). Remember that I said we needed a tropical system to help our cause. It was bad for the coast regions - it was good for our region. That is the way weather behaves. Feast or famine.
I bet you can figure out where Isaac tracked from these maps? These are the month to date precipitation maps - the first map shows you how much rain has fallen (inches). The second map shows you the % of normal precipitation. Parts of our region - much of our region is WELL above normal. A GREAT start for the month of September.
And finally - for you tropical fans amongst the group. Check out this satellite image of Hurricane Michael and Tropical Storm Leslie. Leslie is on the left - very large storm. Michael is the system on the right of the image.
Click image for LARGE view
Another view of Michael - below
Wind: Southeast at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: isolated/scattered 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wednesday will be partly sunny and pleasant with highs in the 80s
Wednesday night - partly cloudy and nice - lows in the 60s
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
HEADLINES: Hopefully everyone has been able to clean up from the recent storm damage. Quite a bit of wind damage across portions of the region. Hardest hit was southeast Missouri into southern Illinois and then southwest Indiana. Widespread reports of down trees, power lines down, some structural damage to homes and businesses, and power outages.
Thankfully the severe weather is over for the near term. I do not have any severe weather or inclement weather in my forecast through Thursday.
Let's take a look at these wonderful high temperatures for the next few days. You have to love September weather!
Monday - Tuesday - Wednesday high temperatures.
The next system of interest should arrive Thursday night or Friday - this will bring another chance for rain and perhaps a rumble of thunder. I will update through the week.
I don't know if any of you were able to see the amazing starry sky on Saturday night? I took this picture in front of my house - you can see the Milky Way - lot of stars! Beautiful - fallish weather.
Click the image for a larger view
Let's take a look at the past weeks severe weather reports - you can view all the details by going to the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - here
Starting on September 5th and moving through the week - the blue dots are wind damage, green would be hail, and red would be a tornado report.
It was a busy week for us forecasters. A bit stressful at times, as well. A fairly impressive event, overall, for September. Just reminds all of us that severe weather can occur throughout the year - any month.
Let me zoom in on the two big events - September 5th (the surprise event) and then the well forecasted September 6th event.
You can see the orange dots - the wind damage path. This is where the bow echo moved on Thursday night. This caused quite a few reports of wind damage and funnel clouds.
I have recorded 7" of rain here at the Weather Observatory since the beginning of September! Not bad in a drought year.
Let's take a look at the latest "precipitation needed to end the drought" map - you can tell that is not as bad as earlier in the summer.
Latest map
I bet you can figure out where Isaac tracked from these maps? These are the month to date precipitation maps - the first map shows you how much rain has fallen (inches). The second map shows you the % of normal precipitation. Parts of our region - much of our region is WELL above normal. A GREAT start for the month of September.
And finally - for you tropical fans amongst the group. Check out this satellite image of Hurricane Michael and Tropical Storm Leslie. Leslie is on the left - very large storm. Michael is the system on the right of the image.
Click image for LARGE view
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here . I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and
you can move
around the United States by
simply clicking on the
national map - or
from the pull down menu
where it says regions and
US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check
out the how much rain is
forecast to fall
over the next 48
hours. This map gives
you a general
broad brushed idea of
what can be
expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO RAIN
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO RAIN
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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1. No major concerns through the middle of the week. Thunderstorms might make an appearance towards Friday or Saturday. Here is the 500 mb wind map for this weekend - you can see a cut off low trying to form - part of the jet cut off from the rest of the flow. We will have to wait and see how this materializes.
Let's take a look at the GFS model - this shows the 500 mb wind map for this weekend - then the surface maps. Remember the purple and blue colors represent precipitation - obviously the model is spitting out some rain for our region. Again - several days to monitor.
Click images for full size view
Then the maps below are for Friday into Saturday night - showing some rain chances
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT
time to buy a NOAA All Hazards
Weather Radio. Better to have one
before storms
strike than to be without one
during an event. I recommend the
Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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