Well, say hello to fall! Temperatures will feel great this week. Normal to below normal temperatures are likely through the rest of the week into the weekend. We could even see low temperatures into the upper 30s by the weekend and early next week. Quite the change from recent weeks. Surely we won't hear any complaints on that subject? Enjoy!
To see this mornings low temperature at the Weather Observatory here in Massac County, Illinois - click here. It was a chilly 45 degrees. We have not been that cool since last spring! :)
Longer range data indicates that we might start to warm up more as we move into the middle of October and end of October. But - some time to watch that. Unfortunately, the long range indicates the dry weather will continue. This is not news that we want to hear.
Fire departments are reminding everyone that they would rather you not burn brush or grass. This has been a problem in several of our local counties - fires getting away from people. So - use caution, please.
Your Seven Day Local Forecast can be viewed here: Seven Day Forecast
Meanwhile - the tropics have been active, as predicted. There is no end in sight to the active development. Expect unsettled weather from Florida up the east coast. We will also need to watch the Gulf of Mexico (esp the eastern half).
Portions of eastern Kentucky may need to keep an eye on this tropical system. Heavy rains will likely spread northward in the coming days. However, most of this rain is expected to remain east of Kentucky. Something to monitor.
A tropical depression developing in the Caribbean will push north towards Cuba and Florida over the coming days. Whether this system is named or not - we are looking at millions of dollars in damage from Cuba into Florida and up the east coast - because of ongoing flooding and flooding to come. If named this system would be Nicole. Below you will see a satellite photo of the depression - click for larger image.
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Extreme rainfall is forecast for a large portion of the east coast over the next 6-10 days. Rainfall totals in some areas will likely exceed 10 inches. Obviously this is going to cause flash flooding. This could be an expensive flood event if we see additional tropical development in the coming week.
To view more on the tropics please visit the National Hurricane Center's web-site - click here.
Here is one of the computer models that I use - the map is showing accumulated precipitation. You can see the widespread heavy rain on the east coast. The map is from http://www.wright-weather.com/ Click images for larger views.
When weather becomes personal you can check back here on the blog for updates - or join me on Facebook for quick daily updates.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
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