Expect a chilly start to October - with potential heavy rains over the east coast - couple of tropical threats from Florida into the southeast United States - pushing northward. Flooding a big big threat. Then look for temperatures to return to above normal as we push further into October. Dry weather will continue for the foreseeable future.
Ready for more seasonable temperatures? Tired of the 90+ temperatures? Great - because I have some wonderful weather news this morning. Cooler temperatures should last through the week! Normal to slightly below normal temperatures are expected right on through Friday.
The area experienced some showers and thunderstorms overnight. I actually managed to see a few lightning bolts up here on the hill in Massac County. Was a bit surprised! Not much rain has fallen - though. We picked up less than 0.05". Nothing to brag or write home about.
Check out the 5 day forecast for rainfall - extreme totals along the East Coast of the United States. This is in response to a storm system developing along the coast and a potential tropical system developing in the Caribbean. Amazing totals are forecast during the upcoming work week. Click for larger image.
Also check out what the NAM (a computer model) is forecasting for the east coast. These are precipitation totals through 84 hours. Image from http://www.wright-weather.com/ - click for larger view
Expect some of our coolest air of the season in the coming days. I would not be surprised to see some low temperatures into the middle to upper 40s across the region.
No severe weather is expected this week in our local area.
Don't forget our second severe weather season max is fast approaching. Storm systems could start producing severe weather as we move into late October and November. If you don't have a NOAA Weather Radio then now is a great time to buy one.
We still need rain. The drought continues to worsen over our region. Updated drought maps will be available later this week. We are entering our windy season. This is not going to help the local fire departments who have to deal with grass fires.
Our best hope for precipitation would be for a tropical system to move northward out of the Gulf of Mexico. There are no indications that is going to happen this week. The best risk for tropical weather will be over Florida and the southeast coast of the United States. But - we will continue to monitor the situation.
The 6-10 day precipitation outlook does not provide much hope. Click image for larger view.
Your seven day forecast and radar can be viewed on my regular site link
http://weatherobservatory.com/index.htm
Long range outlook: 6-10 day temperature outlook (blue means that the odds favor below normal temps and red means that the odds favor above normal temperatures)
Long range maps - above (day 5-6) showing below normal temperatures centered over our region. Click image for larger view. It should be a cool week into the weekend. Not bad for the start of October!
It appears we may finally see some rain/storm threats as we push into the middle of October. Until then - it looks mostly dry.
- Beau Dodson
No comments:
Post a Comment