September 2, 2010:
Late Evening Update:
Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms are moving through southeast Missouri and southern Illinois as of 11 pm.
Some of the heavier storms will produce wind gusts to 30 mph and lightning. Rainfall totals of 0.25-0.50" can be expected in the heaviest downpours - with a few spots receiving a bit more.
The line of showers and storms will approach the Mt Vernon to Cape Girardeau line between 11 pm and 12 am.
September 2, 2010:
No real changes to my forecast thoughts from yesterday - see the previous post.
The cold front is approaching our region from the west. Radar shows an area of showers and thunderstorms ahead and along the front. This area of rain will spread into the rest of our region this afternoon and this evening. No drought breaking rains are expected. Just some hit and miss precipitation - totals less than 0.25" are expected for most of us - locally heavy amounts if thunderstorms can hold together as they approach our immediate local counties later tonight. Check out your local and regional radar views by clicking here.
Your seven day forecast from the National Weather Service can be viewed here.
As you can see - we are expecting a nice weekend. Lower temperatures - a few clouds - and lower humidity. Humidity levels will increase again on Monday and into next week.
Our hurricane continues to churn off the southeast coast. It will come close to moving ashore later tonight. But, in the end it should just brush the United States. A brush will still cause serious problems. Beach erosion and the like. Probably going to cause millions in damage - and that is without a direct hit.
We told you awhile back that the tropics were about to become extremely active. That has become reality. I don't see any reason to believe that the storms are going to stop anytime soon. Numerous tropical storms and hurricanes are expected over the coming four to eight week period.
You can view the latest updates on this system (and the rest of the named storms in the Atlantic) by visiting the National Hurricane Center's web-site.
The latest drought monitor maps have been posted. The drought continues to spread across our region and areas to the south. We need a tropical system to push into the Gulf of Mexico and head in our direction. That would produce widespread moderate to heavy rain. Outside of a tropical system it will be difficult to break our drought. The changing of the seasons (stronger storm systems) should also help our cause. The long range - see yesterdays post - shows average to below normal precipitation for September.
The latest drought monitor maps can be viewed by clicking here.
Have a great holiday weekend!
- Beau Dodson
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