November 4th-6th: Back from Sandy Blizzard

November 4th-6th

I am back from an incredible journey into Hurricane Sandy's cold side - the blizzard.

You can view the photographs by clicking here


For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.

 
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Sunday:  Mostly sunny - cool temperatures 
Highs: Mainly in the lower 50s
Wind: North winds 5-10 mph 
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0"
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 
 
Sunday night:  Mostly clear early - a few clouds after midnight.
Lows: in the middle to upper 30s
Wind: Northeast winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday: Mostly cloudy - chilly - with a chance for showers.
Highs:  In the upper 40s to lower 50s  
Wind: East winds at 10 mph 
Precipitation probability - 40%-60% |  Rainfall totals:  0.25"

Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Monday night: Mostly cloudy and colder - a chance for an early evening rain shower
Lows: in the 34-38 degree range  
Wind:  East winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% |  Rainfall totals: 0.10"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Tuesday Fog/drizzle during the morning hours - quite a few clouds during the day/afternoon..
Highs:  in the middle 50s  
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here



This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:  Fairly calm weather for November will continue into the upcoming workweek.  


We will have a storm system move through the area on Monday - this will spark some rain showers.  Rainfall totals should be in the 0.10-0.35" range.  Perhaps a bit heavier over parts of eastern Missouri.

Temperatures on Monday into Tuesday will be below normal.  It will feel cool - especially with clouds and rain showers on Monday.

No severe weather is expected through the upcoming work week.  I am watching a bigger storm risk around November 11th-15th.  Plenty of time to monitor.

Let's take a look at the GFS model for that time frame - you can see the storm moving in and out

Images from wright-weather.com - click image for a larger view

You can see the isobars wound up - the color areas represents rain and storms


Models also indicate two move storms after this one

See dates at the top of image (again this is the GFS model)

Pink and blue = rain and precipitation


Meanwhile...

Another big storm is expected on the east coast during the upcoming week.  This time it won't be tropical in nature - it will however produce gusty winds, heavy rain, coastal flooding, and possibly snow.  This will add insult to injury for those still recovering from Hurricane Sandy.

This is the GFS model showing the big storm on election day into Wednesday


 

No major concerns



No

 

No wild cards in this forecast package 


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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

 
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.  Click here to join
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Sunday: 
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  No

Monday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No 

Tuesday :  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

 
Sunday - NoMonday - No
Tuesday - No

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here
 
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.

Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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1.  Watching a storm system for next week - somewhere around November 11th-15th - could bring heavier weather to our region.  Stay tuned.

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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