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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds - a patch or two of drizzle possible - patches of fog in the morning - mild temperatures for December.
Highs: 64-68 degree range
Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10%-20% | Rainfall totals: 0.05"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a chance for a shower or thunderstorm - mild - windy at times.
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s
Wind: South winds at 10-15 mph - gusts to 20-25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%-20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" - 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-20 mph- gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 20%-30% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Highs: 64-68 degree range
Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10%-20% | Rainfall totals: 0.05"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a chance for a shower or thunderstorm - mild - windy at times.
Wind: South winds at 10-15 mph - gusts to 20-25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%-20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" - 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - very mild - a chance for a shower - a thunderstorm possible during the AM hours
Highs: In the 66-72 degree rangeWind: Southwest winds at 10-20 mph- gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 20%-30% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a shower possible - mild for December.
Lows: in the middle to upper 50s
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday - Mostly cloudy sky conditions - very mild for December.
Highs: in the upper 60s to lower 70s
Wind: South winds at 15-25 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
This
forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri,
southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest
Tennessee
HEADLINES: Welcome to December! We will have a very mild start to meteorological winter! Temperatures will rise into the 60s (and perhaps 70s) over the coming days.
The warmer weather will also bring a chance for light rain or a shower on Saturday into Sunday night - winds will also pick up over the weekend. Expect southerly winds in the 10-20 mph range on both Saturday and Sunday. Winds will be gusty at times.
There could be a few thunderstorms mixed in with the showers on Saturday night and early Sunday morning.
Rain chances on Saturday and Sunday should be in the 20%-30% range. Rainfall totals would be less than 0.20" during that time frame.
A stronger cold front will arrive on Monday night into Tuesday. There will be a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms with the front. The main time frame for precipitation will likely be on Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon. Some of the models are faster than others with frontal passage. If the front does arrive sooner than expected then rain chances would focus on Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Rainfall totals should be in the 0.30-0.60" range with the front.
It does not appear that severe weather will be a concern with the cold front on Monday night into Tuesday.
Temperatures will be colder as we push into the middle of next week - more seasonable.
I do not see any significant snow or ice chances in the forecast.
Another cold front should arrive towards the end of next week.
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday - Mostly cloudy sky conditions - very mild for December.
Highs: in the upper 60s to lower 70s
Wind: South winds at 15-25 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
HEADLINES: Welcome to December! We will have a very mild start to meteorological winter! Temperatures will rise into the 60s (and perhaps 70s) over the coming days.
The warmer weather will also bring a chance for light rain or a shower on Saturday into Sunday night - winds will also pick up over the weekend. Expect southerly winds in the 10-20 mph range on both Saturday and Sunday. Winds will be gusty at times.
There could be a few thunderstorms mixed in with the showers on Saturday night and early Sunday morning.
Rain chances on Saturday and Sunday should be in the 20%-30% range. Rainfall totals would be less than 0.20" during that time frame.
A stronger cold front will arrive on Monday night into Tuesday. There will be a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms with the front. The main time frame for precipitation will likely be on Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon. Some of the models are faster than others with frontal passage. If the front does arrive sooner than expected then rain chances would focus on Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Rainfall totals should be in the 0.30-0.60" range with the front.
It does not appear that severe weather will be a concern with the cold front on Monday night into Tuesday.
Temperatures will be colder as we push into the middle of next week - more seasonable.
I do not see any significant snow or ice chances in the forecast.
Another cold front should arrive towards the end of next week.
No major concerns - there will be some gusty winds over the weekend.
No major conceerns
No wild cards in this forecast!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits Thunder possible on Saturday night and Sunday morning
Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? Early AM hours may bring a clap or two of thunder.
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? Monday night could bring some lightning and thunder.
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and you can move around the United States
by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down
menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days
No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days
No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's
check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region. This
map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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1. Drought conditions continue over our region. We desperately need above normal rainfall. It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT time
to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before
storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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