Tuesday through Thursday Forecast - August 9th - August 11th
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here.
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts...
Remainder of tonight - Monday night: Partly cloudy with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Below normal temperatures. Lows: in the 67-70 degree range | Wind: Southwest winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%
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Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a few thunderstorms possible. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 85 degree range. | Heat index: Values - 90 degrees | Wind: West winds at 10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 40%
Tuesday night: A few clouds. Below normal temperatures.Lows: around 63 degrees | Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 10%
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Wednesday: Partly sunny. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 85 degrees | Heat index: around 90 degrees | Wind: Northerly at 5-10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 10%.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms possible. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 63 degrees | Wind: South winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 40%-
Thursday: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms possible. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 85 degrees | Heat index: In the 88-92 degree range | Wind: Southwest winds at 10 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms possible. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 65 degrees | Wind: Southwest winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 69 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%.
Friday: A chance for showers and thunderstorms. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 85-87 degrees | Heat index: In the 90-94 degree range | Wind: Westerly winds at 5-15 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 89 degrees. Precipitation probability - 40%
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We finally have some better news in the forecast. The massive heat wave that has plagued our region has shifted to the south and west. This leaves us in the pattern that was expected to happen in July. Better late than never? Temperatures during the upcoming week will be much closer to normal than the last 2 months. Have adjusted temperatures a bit in the latest update.
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Heat safety advice and information - click here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. .
Wednesday night: A few scattered thunderstorms. Thunderstorms that do occur this time of the year can produce cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain in short periods of time, and gusty winds.
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Thursday: A few severe thunderstorms possible. Thunderstorms that do occur this time of the year can produce cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain in short periods of time, and gusty winds.
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Thursday night: A few severe thunderstorms possible. Thunderstorms that do occur this time of the year can produce cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain in short periods of time, and gusty winds.
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Friday: A few severe thunderstorms possible. Thunderstorms that do occur this time of the year can produce cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain in short periods of time, and gusty winds.
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Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storm is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes. .
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above. The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map. To view the actual interactive map - click here. .
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HEADLINE: FINALLY some relief! The pattern has shifted the most intense heat to the south and west. This means temperatures will be more seasonable in our local counties. There will be some on and off thunderstorms chances into the weekend.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Campers will have to watch for a few thunderstorms tonight (Monday night) and then again Wednesday night into the weekend. Same as the last few weeks. Winds near storms can quickly become gusty. Lightning is a concern with any storms that form. Otherwise - temperatures won't be too bad the next few days. Camping weather should be decent - outside of any storms that form.
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Heat safety advice and information - click here
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To view our interactive river map - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues. .
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here. .
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here. .
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here .
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Below image - Low temperatures for Tuesday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Tuesday afternoon.
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.You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK
Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here. .
This map is for Tuesday and then you can view upcoming days by clicking here. .
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here .
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here. .
This map is for Tuesday and you can view this map and upcoming days on our web-site by clicking here. .
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These are the record highs and lows for August 4th through August 7th, 2011. The last map is the past weeks worth of records - both record highs and low. As you can see there have been PLENTY of record high temperatures broken. More record high temperatures than low temperatures. It has been a warm summer for many locations. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here. .
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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Our NEW tropical maps are now ready on the Weather Observatory web-site. Please check them out!
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Tropics are fairly quiet today. For the latest maps please visit our web site to view all of our new tropical maps! Click here.
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site.
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Latest Official National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.
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You can see from the maps (over the last weeks worth of posting) that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
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Here is the latest Palmer Drought Index map. Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas. Thankfully our recent rains are keeping us out of the drought. Close call this year for our region. We should be thankful for our rains.
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
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You can now view the 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
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The orange and red areas on the map indicate where temperatures are expected to be above normal - this is a probability chart - the deeper the orange and red the better chance for above normal temperatures.
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You can see we are in between the below normal and above normal temperatures. Some good news for a change.
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1. A bit more of an active pattern than the last few weeks. There will be several precipitation chances over the coming week. Where rain does fall it could be locally heavy. Typical for summer thunderstorms. The region has experienced several inches of rain over the last couple of weeks - not everyone - but quite a few locations. This is good news for the farmers.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends. .
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here. .
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