December 25, 2010:
Evening update -
No changes in forecast.
Light snow and flurries into tomorrow. No significant accumulation is expected.
Our category 1 winter storm has moved east and should bring heavy snows to portions of the eastern United States.
Gusty winds tonight from the north/northwest at 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
December 25, 2010
Your winter precipitation radar can be found by visiting my Weather Observatory web-site:
The URL is http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
You can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.
If you would like to be added to my email list then please email me and request to be added - I usually send out an email when something significant is occurring or forecast to occur. Email me at email@example.com
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%.
The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: A period of snow this morning. Light snow and flurries are expected to continue on and off today. Light accumulations not out of the question in the range of 1/2-1".
Forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky:
Today - Cloudy. A period of snow. Then light snow showers and flurries at times. High temperatures around 34 degrees. North winds at 5 to 10 mph. Some light accumulation of snow can't be ruled out today from the areas of snow showers that form. Accumulations of 1/2-1" possible.
Tonight - Cloudy. A few light snow showers and flurries around the area. Colder. Low temperature near 23-25 degrees. Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Sunday - Cloudy. Some flurries or light snow. Colder. High in the upper 20s to lower 30s. West/northwest winds at 15 mph.
Sunday night - Mostly cloudy and cold. Low temperatures from 16-20 degrees.
Monday - Mostly sunny and cold. High temperature near 32 degrees.
Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed on the Weather Observatory web-site - click here.
Your regional and local radars - including precipitation type radar - click here.
Barometer reading this morning is in the 30.00 - 30.30" range. Last 24 hours of data - click here.
Well - it was the single worst forecast of the year for the City of Paducah and McCracken County. A few other areas, as well. A thin band - about 10 to 15 miles wide - of heavier snow formed yesterday evening across extreme southern Illinois and parts of western Kentucky. This band produced 2-4" of snow. See radar images below.
My forecast was for a dusting over the southern portion of the area with 1/2-1" for the Metropolis/Paducah area and then 1-3" across parts of southeast MO into southern IL and into the Evansville area.
For the most part the forecast was great. But for those areas where the forecast was a complete bust - I apologize. It is just about impossible to predict a small band like that. I was not happy with my forecast. Wish I would have done better.
There were a lot of wrecks in the areas hardest hit by the heavy snow.
Dexter, Kentucky reported 1" of snow. Meanwhile, a few miles north of Dexter there were reports of 4" of snow. At my place I didn't even record 1" of snow. Actually between 0.60-0.80" as of 10 pm - meanwhile Metropolis had 2 to 2.5" of snow.
Needless to say this was a difficult forecast. I have always said that winter storm forecasting is the single hardest forecast to produce in our region. Tonight was just another example of that fact.
Again - I apologize for missing the forecast in that small band.
A period of snow this morning. Then some light snow and flurries will continue on and off into Sunday. There could be some minor accumulation in a few counties. Sometimes these snow showers can form over an area and produce small pockets of accumulation.
Check radar for the latest look at where precipitation is or is not falling.
Jason Darnall sent me these radar grabs of the heavy snow bands (see above). You can see that some areas picked up quite a bit more snow than other areas. Some fairly large flakes were reported in the bright pink areas. Click each image for a larger view.
I am watching a system for the middle of the week and another towards the end of the week. Stay tuned for updates on these systems.
I hope everyone has a VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS - stay safe and enjoy the holidays.
- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
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