December 24, 2010: Light snow likely later today into Saturday/Sunday.

December 24, 2010:

9 PM Update:

A heavier snow band formed over extreme southern Illinois and a small area of west Kentucky.  The area under the heavier band received 2-3" more than expected.  Horrible forecast - to say the least.  But - that happens in these situations from time to time. 

Some snowfall reports...

Less than 1" of snow here at my place in central Massac County.  Reports out of McCracken County of 3-4" of snow.  Dexter, KY has 1" of snow and 10 miles north of there are reports of 4" of snow. 

The single worst forecast I have made this year for the City of Paducah - I was thinking 1/2-1".  Obviously they got a lot more.  Not very happy about the end result for the 10-15 mile strip that ended up with heavier snow.  My apologies for a horrible forecast.

There have been a lot of wrecks in areas that received the heavier snow band.  Please use caution.

Light snow will continue overnight and tomorrow.  Some additional accumulation is possible. 

-Beau


December 24, 2010

I have posted a video on my Facebook - for those interested.  I will soon be integrating those videos into my web-site.

Your winter precipitation radar can be found by visiting my Weather Observatory web-site:
The URL is http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm


Remember quite a bit of what you see on radar this morning is actually virga.  That is precipitation that is falling from the clouds but not reaching the ground (it is evaporating in the dry air).  It takes time for the atmosphere to saturate when we have dry air at the surface.  Once the air saturates this the snow will reach the ground.

There have been some reports this morning of flurries and light snow in the Carbondale area.  So - some of that is reaching the ground.

You can find more updates on my Facebook (under Beau Dodson) - Twitter, as well.

If you would like to be added to my email list then please email me and request to be added - I usually send out an email when something significant is occurring or forecast to occur.  Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com


Bottom line it for me Beau...

For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...

The forecast for severe weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: 0%. 

The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: Light snow and flurries will develop later today and this afternoon over far southern Illinois and western Kentucky.  This precipitation could start out as a mixture of rain, sleet, freezing rain, and snow.  Then change to all snow as colder air filters into the region.  A dusting to an inch for many of us.  Areas to the north should receive a bit more.


Forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky:

Today - Cloudy.  Flurries or light snow.  Precipitation could start out as a mixture of cold rain, sleet, freezing rain, and snow before changing to all snow.  High temperatures around 33-34 degrees.  Northeast winds at 7-10 mph.

Tonight - Cloudy.  Light snow likely.  Minor accumulation possible.  A dusting to 1" in most areas of far southern Illinois and western Kentucky.  Northeast winds at 5-10 mph.

Saturday - A chance for light snow or flurries.  Colder.  High in the upper 20s and lower 30s.  West/northwest winds at 10-15 mph.  Total snow accumulation of 1/2"-3" across our area.  More to the north/northwest/northeast and less to the south/southwest.

Saturday night - Flurries possible.  Colder.  Low near 23 degrees.  West/northwest winds at 15 mph.  

Sunday - Cloudy.  Some flurries or light snow.  Colder.  High in the upper 20s.  West/northwest winds at 15 mph.

Anyone with travel plans on Friday into Saturday should check road conditions and the latest forecasts - watches - warnings.

Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed on the Weather Observatory web-site -  click here.

Your regional and local radars - including precipitation type radar - click here.

Barometer reading this morning is in the 29.80 - 30.10" range.  Last 24 hours of data - click here.

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Good morning everyone!

I hope everyone is having a nice holiday weekend.  It is a bit cold outside.  But - it is December!

No big changes in the forecast this morning.  This is a small winter weather event for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky.  Don't expect much in the way of accumulation.  Perhaps enough to give us a white Christmas.

Areas to our north - say from Farmington, Missouri over to Carbondale and then to Evansville should receive a bit more snow than areas south of that line.  Perhaps an inch or two with isolated higher amounts in those areas.

To the south of that line this will be more of a novelty event - I would not be surprised to see a dusting in some of our counties with perhaps an inch or two scattered throughout the rest of the counties.

Again - not a big event.  However, there will be some slick spots on area roadways.  The NWS has issued some winter weather advisories to cover the possible impacts of this winter storm.

Here is the HPC probability of map of 1" or more of snowfall over the next 24 hours.





















December will go down in the record books as one of the colder Decembers on record.  Quite amazing.

Big storm still possible around December 30th through January 2nd.  

Have a GREAT and SAFE holiday season!

- Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

Please visit Chris Bailey's weather blog if you live in central and eastern Kentucky http://www.kyweathercenter.com/

For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here

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