October 14th-16th: Some storms then nice

October 14th-16th

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.

 
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer




.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Sunday:  Windy at times - mostly cloudy during the morning with a chance for showers and some thunderstorms.  Becoming partly cloudy during the late morning and early afternoon - another chance for showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon.  A few storms could produce gusty winds and hail.
Highs: in the upper 70s  |  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 71 degrees.
Wind: Southwest winds 10-30 mph and gusty
Precipitation probability - 40%-60%  | Rainfall totals:
  0.25"-0.75" but locally heavier in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 
 
Sunday night:  Clearing and cooler behind the cold front.
Lows: in the middle 40s |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph becoming northwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%  | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday: Mostly sunny and pleasant
Highs:  in the lower to middle 70s  | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 71 degrees.
Wind: Northwest winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Monday night:  Mostly clear and cool
Lows: in the 42-45 degree range  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.
Wind:  Nearly calm winds
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:   Back from my break!  I hope everyone enjoyed the weather while I was away?  Looks like it rained a little bit - also turned cold on us.


Sunday will bring a cold front into our region.  Along and ahead of the front there will be chances for showers and thunderstorms. 

One band of storms should be pushing through the region late tonight and early Sunday morning - then there is the potential for a second band of thunderstorms during the afternoon hours.

A few of the storms could become severe - this will depend on instability late Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon.  Monitor local media and NOAA Weather Radio if you have concerns.

Cooler weather will follow the fronts passage on Sunday night into Tuesday.




Gusty winds for boaters on Sunday.  Also thunderstorms will be possible during the morning and again during the afternoon hours.  A few of the storms could become severe with hail and high winds.  Monitor for updates.



Possibly - yes.  Monitor any warnings on Sunday - mainly from the late morning hours until Sunday afternoon (before evening).  Can't rule out a few storms producing damaging winds and hail.  Small tornado risk.

 

No wild cards in this forecast package 
.
.
.
No major changes since the last update

.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
Click Here .  I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.



We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

 
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.  Click here to join
.
---
---- 
The forecast for severe or extreme weather

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   


Sunday:  A few severe storms will be possible.  No snow or ice.
Sunday: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  Yes

Sunday night:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Sunday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  Very early in the evening - storms should be moving eastward during the afternoon hours on Sunday and exit our region by Sunday evening.


Monday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Monday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
.
Monday night :  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Monday night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No


For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

 
Sunday - Possible
Sunday night - No
Monday - No

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here
 
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning  map - click here.
.

.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


.

.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
--- 
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 120 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.


 

.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

.

Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.

.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---


1.  We will watch another storm system towards the middle of next week. 



Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.


.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.

To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.

All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.

.

No comments:

Post a Comment