June 2nd-3rd: Some chances for precip

June 2nd-3rd: 2012

Saturday evening into Sunday update
.
For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.

 
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer

.


.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Saturday night:  Mostly clear over most of the area - a few clouds northeast counties - chance of rain mainly over southwest Indiana.  Cool - nice moon tonight.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 50s  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind:  Calm  
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:  0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Sunday:  A mix of sun and clouds - it will be a bit warmer.  A small chance for rain and storms over our western counties late in the day.
Near normal temperatures
Highs:  around 82-86 degrees.  | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.
Wind: West winds at 10 mph 
Precipitation probability - 20%  Rainfall totals:   0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high

.
Sunday night:  Mostly cloudy with a chance for some showers and thunderstorms.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 60s |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.
Wind:  West winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 70%  Rainfall totals: 0.25"-0.50" - some areas may once again remain mostly dry
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Monday:  Mostly cloudy with a chance for showers and some thunderstorms.  
Below normal temperatures
Highs:  around 85 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph  
Precipitation probability - 60%  Rainfall totals: 
0.25"-0.50" - some areas may once again remain mostly dry
Confidence in this forecast is high 
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.  Click here to join
.


.


No major concerns on Sunday - chance for storms Sunday night and Monday.  Just a small chance that a few storms could produce hail or gusty winds.

Monitor Radars - click here

Watches/Warnings - click here

.

.
Some thunderstorms the next 24 hours.

.


No significant wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
.
Lowered temperatures

.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
Click Here.  I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
.

---
---- 
The forecast for severe or extreme weather

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.  More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here 
.
Saturday night:  Possible watches this evening over some of our counties - storms will be coming to an end early this evening - from west to east..
Saturday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - mainly early
.
Sunday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Sunday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
.
Sunday night :
  A few strong to severe storms possible over southeast Missouri and northeast Arkansas.
Sunday night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  Yes
.
Monday: Widespread severe weather is unlikely - a few storms could produce isolated reports of hail and high winds - especially over Kentucky and Tennessee.
Monday: 
Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  Yes
.

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.


.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?  
.
Sunday - No 
Sunday night - small chance for a watch - mainly over southwest counties
Monday - Small chance for a watch
Tuesday - No
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here
 


.
To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning  map - click here.
.

.

.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here

.

.


.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.

 
.


This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
.
HEADLINES:   A short update - it is the weekend, after all!  
Showers and thunderstorms will form late Sunday afternoon to our west and northwest - these will move into our region on Sunday night and Monday.  Right now the thinking is that a large part of our region may at least pick up a little bit of rain - but once again it is not out of the question that some areas remain dry.  
The best chance of rain may be over the southwest counties vs the northeast counties.  Say from St Louis, MO towards Kentucky Lake - then west of that line.  Better chance of picking up 0.25-0.50" - perhaps more in spots.  Less chance as you go east and northeast of that line.
Hopefully most areas pick up some much much much needed rainfall.  We desperately need a soaking rain.

Monitor Radars - click here



We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 
.

.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
--- 
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.


.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.

-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.




.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.


.


Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here

.


.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
.

To view recent records that have been broken - click here

.
.
---

.
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention).  I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible.  Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here

-----------------------------  

.
1.  

Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here

Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.



.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.

To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.

All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.

.

No comments:

Post a Comment