September 20, 2010: Warm week ahead - watching tropics

September 20, 2010:

Our above to much above normal temperatures continue.  This will verify my September outlook - now we have to get through October and November.  We will see how it all averages out.

For this week expect temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s.  Average temperatures are in the middle 80s.  So, a warm week is in store for the entire region.  Dry, as well.  No surprise there.

Keeping a close eye on the potential for tropical development (a moderate risk) in the Caribbean.  The system would then move into the Gulf of Mexico (after impacting portions of Central America and Mexico) or perhaps as far east as Florida.  Lot of debate on if the storm and track - assuming it will develop.  Something to keep an eye on.  This pattern is ripe for development and a continuation of the active tropical theme.  And conditions are becoming more favorable for a U.S. hit.

September has been extremely active in the tropics.  If we see a couple of more systems develop then it would rank in the top 2 or 3 for most active Septembers on record.  Quite amazing.

Otherwise - for our region - watching for a cold front around Friday night and Saturday.  Could bring a chance for showers and a bit cooler air into the local area.  A break from the heat?  Would be nice.

- Beau

No comments:

Post a Comment