For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
Sunday: Mostly sunny and cool.
Highs: Mainly in the 50-55 degree range
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Sunday night: Mostly clear sky conditions.
Lows: in the lower to middle 30s
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Northeast winds at 10 mph - north/northeast winds at 10-20 mph during the afternoon hours
Precipitation probability - 60%-80%| Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Highs: Mainly in the 50-55 degree range
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Sunday night: Mostly clear sky conditions.
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday: Increasing clouds through the day. A chance for showers - rumble of thunder - mostly during the afternoon hours. It will be on the cool side.
Highs: In the 54-58 degree rangeWind: Northeast winds at 10 mph - north/northeast winds at 10-20 mph during the afternoon hours
Precipitation probability - 60%-80%| Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Monday night: Rain - a rumble of thunder - rain may end as a brief/light snow flurry or a mixture of precipitation. No accumulation and not a big deal.
Lows: in the middle 30s
Wind: North winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.20"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Tuesday - A mix of sun and clouds - cooler temperatures.
Highs: in the lower 40s
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
This
forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri,
southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest
Tennessee
HEADLINES: Brrr - that is the sound heard around the area on Saturday morning. I recorded a low of 22 degrees on Saturday morning, here at the Weather Observatory in Massac County, Illinois. Temperatures will moderate a little bit on Sunday and Monday.
A new storm system will approach the area from the southwest on Monday afternoon and Monday evening. This will spread some clouds and at least a chance for precipitation back into the area.
There is quite a bit of disagreement among the model suites as to how widespread the precipitation will be. Right now it appears that rain showers will develop over parts of Missouri and Arkansas on Monday afternoon and spread northeast into Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Tennessee.
The time frame for precipitation should be in the 2 pm Monday through 6 am on Tuesday morning.
Colder air will push into the area as the storm pulls away. This could change rain over to snow flurries and a light mixture - brief if at all. Temperatures will be borderline for frozen precipitation. Something to monitor over the next day or two. Precipitation should be coming to an end as the cooler air arrives. Thus - most of the precipitation should be in the form of rain.
Rainfall totals should be in the 0.10-0.30" range with the possibility of a stripe of 0.30"-0.60" - we need the rain. Drought conditions continue over area area.
Wind: North winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.20"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Tuesday - A mix of sun and clouds - cooler temperatures.
Highs: in the lower 40s
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
HEADLINES: Brrr - that is the sound heard around the area on Saturday morning. I recorded a low of 22 degrees on Saturday morning, here at the Weather Observatory in Massac County, Illinois. Temperatures will moderate a little bit on Sunday and Monday.
A new storm system will approach the area from the southwest on Monday afternoon and Monday evening. This will spread some clouds and at least a chance for precipitation back into the area.
There is quite a bit of disagreement among the model suites as to how widespread the precipitation will be. Right now it appears that rain showers will develop over parts of Missouri and Arkansas on Monday afternoon and spread northeast into Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Tennessee.
The time frame for precipitation should be in the 2 pm Monday through 6 am on Tuesday morning.
Colder air will push into the area as the storm pulls away. This could change rain over to snow flurries and a light mixture - brief if at all. Temperatures will be borderline for frozen precipitation. Something to monitor over the next day or two. Precipitation should be coming to an end as the cooler air arrives. Thus - most of the precipitation should be in the form of rain.
Rainfall totals should be in the 0.10-0.30" range with the possibility of a stripe of 0.30"-0.60" - we need the rain. Drought conditions continue over area area.
No major concerns
No.
No wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits No
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? Thunder possible
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. Can't rule out precipitation ending as a flurry or a few flakes of snow/ice pellets - not a big deal.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The
links above are interactive and you can move around the United States
by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down
menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days
I am watching the storm system on Monday night - the rain may change over to a brief period of rain and snow mixed or light snow. It appears the cold air will arrive too late for this to be of much concern. However, with that said - I will monitor and update the blog if the forecast were to change.
.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days
I am watching the storm system on Monday night - the rain may change over to a brief period of rain and snow mixed or light snow. It appears the cold air will arrive too late for this to be of much concern. However, with that said - I will monitor and update the blog if the forecast were to change.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's
check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region. This
map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---
1. Drought conditions continue over our region. We desperately need above normal rainfall. It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE
Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT time
to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before
storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment