November 22nd-25th: Colder weather to arrive

November 22nd-25th

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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Thursday:  Some morning dense fog - fog will mix out early in the day leaving us with partly sunny skies - well above normal temperatures.  A warm Thanksgiving.
Highs: Mainly in the 68-72 degree range 
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 

Thursday night:  Increasing clouds with a chance for a few showers.  Turning colder.  Windy at times as the front passes through the region.
Lows: in the lower to middle 40s
Wind: Winds shifting to the west/northwest at 10-25 mph
Precipitation probability - 60%  | Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.25"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Friday: Some morning clouds and a shower before 7 am - otherwise, mix of sun and clouds.  Colder.  Windy at times.  Jacket weather.
Highs:  In the 46-52 degree range
Wind:  Northwest winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% before 7 am | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Friday night: Clearing sky conditions - colder.
Lows: in the middle 20s
Wind:  North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Saturday - Mostly sunny and cold - jacket/coat weather.

Highs:  in the upper30s and lower 40s  
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:   Talk about quiet weather for the weatherman!  Wow - has it been quiet.  I hope everyone is enjoying this weather.  Thanksgiving Day temperatures will feel more like Easter.  Highs will top out near 70 degrees over most of our counties.


All good things must come to an end - a cold front will move through the region on Thursday night and Friday morning.  A few showers will be possible with the front.  Colder and windier conditions will move in on Thursday night and last into the weekend.

A hard freeze is expected on Friday night - temperatures will be in the middle 20s.

High temperatures on Saturday will not get out of the upper 30s and lower 40s.  Brrrr 

Rainfall amounts with the front will be less than one-quarter of an inch.

The next decent shot at rain and thunderstorms will arrive on Monday night and Tuesday.  An area of low pressure will spread rain into our region.  The risk for thunderstorms can't be ruled out - this will depend on the exact track of the area of low pressure.

Severe weather risk is not zero - this will depend on the track of the low.  If the low is a bit further north then the threat for a few severe storms will increase.

As the area of low pressure pulls away on Tuesday we will see colder conditions return.  
    


Some areas of fog on Thursday morning - fog should mix out fairly quickly.



No.

 

No wild cards in this forecast!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join

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The forecast for severe or extreme weather

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Thursday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  No

Friday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

Saturday :  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Thursday - No 
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No


To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days


Nothing of concern in the near term forecast!
 

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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.


Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
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1.  I am monitoring a storm system for next week- Monday night and Tuesday.

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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