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No significant changes to the previous forecast. It does appear temperatures will be a little lower than upper 80s towards the middle/end of the week. So, this is good news for those who have grown weary of the recent record streak of 91 and above temperatures.
We do a have a tropical system in the Atlantic. It appears this system will not impact the United States. Danielle is in the far eastern Atlantic. To read more about Danielle please visit the National Hurricane Center's web-site - here.
The biggest news this week will be the lower humidity levels starting Wednesday and continuing into Friday and Saturday. It will at least feel a lot nicer outside than in previous weeks. I would not be surprised to see low temperatures drop into the 50s later this week. This is also good news for everyone who is tired of the day in and day out hot hot hot weather.
The best chance for the area to see low temperatures in the 50s will be Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.
Unfortunately I do not see any indication of significant rainfall. The drought will continue this week and possibly into next week, as well. Rainfall deficits will continue to worsen. There is only a very slight chance - less than 20% - of a scattered shower as the front passes through towards the middle of the week.
Fire conditions will worsen, as well. Several local fire departments are requesting that area residents don't burn brush or grass/fields until additional rain falls.
The long range models indicate that mostly above normal temperatures could continue into September and October. November and December is still a bit too far off to make a call.
Overall it appears that precipitation will remain below normal in the coming weeks. Again, we need a tropical system to move out of the Gulf of Mexico to really bring us significant rains. We will just have to keep watching. Tropics should pick up considerably during the coming weeks - 2 month period. Several impacts to the U.S. will be possible. Stay tuned.
Your seven day forecast can be viewed here.
Lot of signals still point to a winter filled with swings in temperatures. Unlike last winter that was mostly cold. Above normal precipitation appears likely. Could be quite active with many storm systems tracking north of our region - putting us in the warm sector. With water temperatures so high in the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic there will be a higher risk of significant precipitation events and possibly some significant deep storms (windy systems - heavier precipitation). The above normal water temperatures has to balance out one way or another - the balance will likely make for interesting weather in the central United States. But, when isn't winter interesting in our region?
Some winter time severe thunderstorm events won't be out of the question. We will need to monitor the set-up as we move further into fall. Also don't forget our fall severe weather season is fast approaching.
- Beau Dodson
1 Month Outlook - Appears To Favor Above Normal Temperatures. September Forecast.
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