December 3rd-6th: Rain tonight/Tuesday - cooler

December 3rd-6th:

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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Monday:  Mix of sun and clouds - mild for December.  Windy at times..
Highs: 64-68 degree range 
Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 

Monday night:  Mostly cloudy with showers and some thunderstorms developing after midnight - a few thunderstorms could produce heavy downpours and gusty winds.
Lows: in the lower to middle 60s
Wind: South winds at 10-15 mph - gusts to 20-25 mph
Precipitation probability - 40%-60%  | Rainfall totals: 0.25" - 0.50"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely - turning cooler during the afternoon hours.
Highs:  In the 62-66 degree range and then falling into the 50s during the afternoon hours
Wind:  Southwest winds at 10-20 mph- gusty at times - winds turning towards the west during the afternoon hours.
Precipitation probability - 60%-80% | Rainfall totals: 0.20"-0.40"
Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Tuesday night: Cloudy with patchy fog early - then becoming partly cloudy - cooler than previous nights - a chance for morning fog.
Lows: in the upper 30s and lower 40s
Wind:  Northwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Wednesday - Some morning fog possible - becoming mostly sunny and cool. 
Highs:  in the upper 50s 
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:  Good afternoon.  I hope everyone has been enjoying the AMAZING weather over the last few days.  Yes, there have been a lot of clouds, but you can't beat the temperatures.  Not in December!  


A cold front will bring all of this to an end tonight and Tuesday.  The front will be accompanied by showers and a few thunderstorms.  It does not look as if severe weather will be a concern.  There will be a few pockets of heavy downpours and perhaps gusty winds with any thunderstorm cells that form.  Of course lightning and thunder, as well.

General rainfall totals should be in the 0.30"-0.60" range - pockets of heavier rain possible.

The cold front will push through the region on Tuesday.  This will usher in cooler temperatures.

Looking ahead it appears another chance of rain towards the end of the week or the weekend.  It is possible that we could see a heavier rainfall event later this weekend into the first part of the following week.  Some of the model data is pointing to a deeper area of low pressure and widespread rain.  We can hope - the drought continues.

MUCH too soon to mention severe weather or even the potential of severe weather.  Too far out and the storm track is far from certain.  Stay tuned.
    


Some thunderstorms tonight and Tuesday morning - brief heavy rain and gusty winds with a few storms.  Severe weather risk appears very very low.



No major concerns

 

No wild cards in this forecast!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join

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The forecast for severe or extreme weather

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Monday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  Thunder possible on Monday night and Tuesday morning

Tuesday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  Early AM hours may bring a clap or two of thunder.

Wednesday:  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Monday - No  
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days


No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
 

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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.


Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
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1.  Drought conditions continue over our region.  We desperately need above normal rainfall.  It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.  

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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